Value bet: Chaves II to win @ 3.10 – our chance 42% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +29%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultChaves II to win ✗42% · @3.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · fair 1.88
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11% · fair 8.71
Os Limianos vs Chaves II: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 16 August the Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group A brings Os Limianos against Chaves II at Campo Cruzeiro. Kick-off: 17:00 WAT. In the table, Os Limianos are 1st, leading the league, on 18 points after 8 matches; Chaves II are 5th (upper half) with 12.
Current form
Os Limianos, last 5: WLWDD Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Ribeira Brava, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.2 goals per game.
Chaves II, last 5: WLWLD Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Monção, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Os Limianos, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.3 for Chaves II.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Os Limianos 1.1 xG, Chaves II 1.3 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 47%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Os Limianos 36%, draw 23%, Chaves II 42%.
Price worth noting: Chaves II to win @3.10 – the bookmaker implies 32%, our ratings say 42%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (57%, odds 1.65). Most likely score in line with that pick: Os Limianos 1–1 Chaves II. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Os Limianos36%fair 2.79 · @2.10
Draw23%fair 4.43 · @3.20
Chaves II42%fair 2.40 · @3.10
2.39Expected goals
1.14Os Limianos xG
1.26Chaves II xG
47%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–111%
1–010%
0–09%
1–28%
2–17%
From our goals model: Os Limianos 1.1 – 1.3 Chaves II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Chaves II to win✗
42%
2.40
3.10 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
1.28
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
53%
1.88
–
Draw no bet
Chaves II (draw no bet)✗
54%
1.86
–
Asian handicap
Os Limianos +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.75
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
78%
1.28
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
First team to score
Chaves II to score first
48%
2.09
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Chaves II / FT Chaves II✗
22%
4.46
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
11%
8.71
–
Recent results
Os Limianos – last 6
WLWDDW
25 Mar
vs Ribeira Brava
3–0
W
22 Mar
@ Bragança
1–4
L
15 Mar
vs Monção
4–1
W
8 Mar
@ Mirandela
0–0
D
22 Feb
@ Celoricense
1–1
D
15 Feb
vs Vilaverdense
4–1
W
2.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Chaves II – last 6
WLWLDD
22 Mar
@ Monção
4–1
W
15 Mar
vs Mirandela
1–2
L
8 Mar
@ Ribeira Brava
2–0
W
1 Mar
vs Celoricense
1–2
L
22 Feb
@ Vilaverdense
1–1
D
15 Feb
vs Camacha
0–0
D
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Os Limianos and Chaves II.
What is the prediction for Os Limianos vs Chaves II?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Os Limianos vs Chaves II?
On our numbers Os Limianos have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Chaves II 42%.
How many goals will there be in Os Limianos vs Chaves II?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Os Limianos vs Chaves II?
Our predicted score is Os Limianos 1–1 Chaves II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Os Limianos vs Chaves II?
Os Limianos vs Chaves II (Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group A) kicks off on Sunday 16 August 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Campo Cruzeiro.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
