Value bet: Tirsense to win @ 1.77 – our chance 60% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultTirsense to win ✓60% · @1.77
Double chanceTirsense or draw ✓83% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.92
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 10.57
Tirsense vs Montalegre: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
16:00 WAT, Sunday 8 November: Tirsense v Montalegre in the Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group A, played at Estadio Abel Alves de Figueiredo. In the table, Tirsense are 4th, among the top four, on 15 points after 8 matches; Montalegre are 6th (upper half) with 12. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Tirsense, last 5: WLLDW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Bragança, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Montalegre, last 5: WLWDD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Maria da Fonte, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Tirsense 1.7 xG, Montalegre 0.8 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Tirsense 60%, draw 23%, Montalegre 17%.
Lower-risk option: Tirsense or draw (83%) at 1.15.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.92.
Price worth noting: Tirsense to win @1.77 – the bookmaker implies 56%, our ratings say 60%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (70%, odds 1.32). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tirsense 2–0 Montalegre. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Tirsense60%fair 1.67 · @1.77
Draw23%fair 4.31 · @3.28
Montalegre17%fair 5.98 · @3.96
2.50Expected goals
1.72Tirsense xG
0.78Montalegre xG
55%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
2–012%
1–111%
2–19%
0–08%
3–07%
From our goals model: Tirsense 1.7 – 0.8 Montalegre expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Tirsense to win✓
60%
1.67
1.77 ▲
Double chance
Tirsense or draw✓
83%
1.20
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.82
1.92 ▲
Draw no bet
Tirsense (draw no bet)✓
78%
1.28
–
Asian handicap
Montalegre +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.32
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.81
1.63
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.18
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
First team to score
Tirsense to score first✓
63%
1.58
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.35
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Tirsense / FT Tirsense✓
37%
2.69
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
9%
10.57
–
Recent results
Tirsense – last 6
WLLDWL
1 Nov
@ Bragança
1–0
W
25 Oct
vs Maia Lidador
3–5
L
11 Oct
@ SC Braga B
2–3
L
19 Sep
@ Mafra
1–1
D
13 Sep
vs Brito
2–0
W
6 Sep
@ Celoricense
1–2
L
1.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Montalegre – last 6
WLWDDD
1 Nov
vs Maria da Fonte
2–0
W
25 Oct
vs Ponte da Barca
0–1
L
11 Oct
@ Bragança
2–0
W
13 Sep
vs Maia Lidador
1–1
D
5 Sep
@ SC Braga B
2–2
D
30 Aug
vs Ponte da Barca
0–0
D
1.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tirsense and Montalegre.
What is the prediction for Tirsense vs Montalegre?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.32.
Who will win Tirsense vs Montalegre?
On our numbers Tirsense have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Montalegre 17%.
How many goals will there be in Tirsense vs Montalegre?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tirsense vs Montalegre?
Our predicted score is Tirsense 2–0 Montalegre, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Tirsense vs Montalegre?
Tirsense vs Montalegre (Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group A) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Abel Alves de Figueiredo.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
