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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Vinhais v Celoricense: numbers & prediction

Vinhais

LLLLL
2–4
FT
Vinhais 15%Draw 20%Celoricense 65% Expected goals 0.74 – 1.85
72%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.39 · bookmaker 1.29 · Lost ✗

7/10Rating
1.29Odds

Picks by market

ResultCeloricense to win ✓65% · @1.43
Double chanceCeloricense or draw ✓85% · @1.04
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.95
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.54

Vinhais vs Celoricense: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Celoricense travel to face Vinhais on Sunday 8 November in the Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group A – the ball rolls at 16:00 WAT. In the table, Vinhais are 14th, in the drop zone, on 0 points after 8 matches; Celoricense are 7th (upper half) with 12. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Vinhais, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Ponte da Barca, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Celoricense, last 5: DLDLL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Rebordosa, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Momentum favours Celoricense, collecting 0.8 points per game to 0.0 for Vinhais.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Vinhais 0.7 xG, Celoricense 1.9 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 53%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Vinhais 15%, draw 20%, Celoricense 65%.
  • GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.95.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (72%, odds 1.29). Most likely score in line with that pick: Vinhais 0–1 Celoricense. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Vinhais15%fair 6.64 · @6.40
Draw20%fair 4.98 · @3.74
Celoricense65%fair 1.54 · @1.43
2.59Expected goals
0.74Vinhais xG
1.85Celoricense xG
53%Both score
49%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–114%
0–213%
1–110%
1–29%
0–38%
0–08%

From our goals model: Vinhais 0.7 – 1.9 Celoricense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCeloricense to win ✓65%1.541.43
Double chanceCeloricense or draw ✓85%1.181.04
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓53%1.901.95
Draw no betCeloricense (draw no bet) ✓81%1.23–
Asian handicapCeloricense -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓64%1.56–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73%1.361.23
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗51%1.961.84
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗72%1.391.29
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗88%1.14–
First team to scoreCeloricense to score first ✗66%1.51–
Half-time resultCeloricense ahead at half-time ✗45%2.21–
Half-time / full-timeHT Celoricense / FT Celoricense ✗41%2.47–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%10.54–

Recent results

Vinhais – last 6

LLLLLL
1 Nov@ Ponte da Barca1–2L
25 Oct@ Rebordosa0–8L
11 Octvs Os Limianos1–2L
20 Sep@ Fátima1–4L
13 Sep@ Vila Meã0–4L
6 Sepvs Chaves II1–2L
0.7Scored / game
3.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Celoricense – last 6

DLDLLW
1 Novvs Rebordosa0–0D
25 Oct@ Os Limianos2–3L
11 Octvs Vila Meã0–0D
20 Sep@ Bragança1–6L
13 Sep@ Chaves II0–1L
6 Sepvs Tirsense2–1W
0.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Vinhais and Celoricense.

Vinhais vs Celoricense head-to-head page →

Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group A table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Os Limianos8530+718
2SC Braga B8440+716
3Bragança8512+416
4Tirsense8503+415
5Chaves II8404+212
6Montalegre8332+412
7Celoricense8332+212
8Maia Lidador8323+111
9Rebordosa8242+710
10Ponte da Barca8314-410
11Vila Meã8233+19
12Brito8215-87
13Maria da Fonte8215-67
14Vinhais8008-210

More Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group A predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Vinhais vs Celoricense?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.29.

Who will win Vinhais vs Celoricense?

On our numbers Vinhais have a 15% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Celoricense 65%.

How many goals will there be in Vinhais vs Celoricense?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Vinhais vs Celoricense?

Our predicted score is Vinhais 0–1 Celoricense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Vinhais vs Celoricense?

Vinhais vs Celoricense (Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group A) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.