Value bet: Vila Meã to win @ 1.86 – our chance 63% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultVila Meã to win ✗63% · @1.86
Double chanceVila Meã or draw ✗86% · @1.19
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.82
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.02
Vila Meã vs Maia Lidador: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Vila Meã welcome Maia Lidador for a Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group A fixture on Sunday 8 November (16:00 WAT). In the table, Vila Meã are 11th, lower half, on 9 points after 8 matches; Maia Lidador are 8th (lower half) with 11. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Vila Meã, last 5: DLDWL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with SC Braga B, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Maia Lidador, last 5: WWDLD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Chaves II, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (30 Aug 2026) it ended Maia Lidador 0–0 Vila Meã.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Vila Meã 1.8 xG, Maia Lidador 0.7 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 49%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Vila Meã 63%, draw 23%, Maia Lidador 14%.
Lower-risk option: Vila Meã or draw (86%) at 1.19.
GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.82.
Price worth noting: Vila Meã to win @1.86 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 63%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Vila Meã 1–0 Maia Lidador. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Vila Meã63%fair 1.59 · @1.86
Draw23%fair 4.32 · @3.30
Maia Lidador14%fair 7.12 · @3.55
2.54Expected goals
1.81Vila Meã xG
0.73Maia Lidador xG
49%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
2–013%
1–110%
2–19%
0–08%
3–08%
From our goals model: Vila Meã 1.8 – 0.7 Maia Lidador expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Vila Meã vs Maia Lidador?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Vila Meã vs Maia Lidador?
On our numbers Vila Meã have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Maia Lidador 14%.
How many goals will there be in Vila Meã vs Maia Lidador?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Vila Meã vs Maia Lidador?
Our predicted score is Vila Meã 1–0 Maia Lidador, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Vila Meã vs Maia Lidador?
Vila Meã vs Maia Lidador (Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group A) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
