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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Grêmio Anápolis v Bom Jesus EC: numbers & prediction

Goiano 2 · Brazil

Grêmio Anápolis

LDDDL
2–2
FT

Bom Jesus EC

DDLWL
Grêmio Anápolis 13%Draw 26%Bom Jesus EC 61% Expected goals 0.61 – 1.64
61%
Betarazi pick

Bom Jesus EC to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.63 · bookmaker 1.75 · Lost ✗

5/10Rating
1.75Odds

Picks by market

ResultBom Jesus EC to win ✗61% · @1.75
Double chanceBom Jesus EC or draw ✓87% · @1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗61% · fair 1.64
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗17% · fair 5.82

Grêmio Anápolis vs Bom Jesus EC: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

23:00 WAT, Wednesday 23 September: Grêmio Anápolis v Bom Jesus EC in the Goiano 2. In the table, Grêmio Anápolis are 9th, in the drop zone, on 15 points after 18 matches; Bom Jesus EC are 3rd (among the top four) with 31. There are 16 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Grêmio Anápolis, last 5: LDDDL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Mineiros, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Bom Jesus EC, last 5: DDLWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Goiânia, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Bom Jesus EC, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.5 for Grêmio Anápolis.

Head to head

When they last met (16 Aug 2026) it ended Bom Jesus EC 2–0 Grêmio Anápolis.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Grêmio Anápolis 0.6 xG, Bom Jesus EC 1.6 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 40%, GG 39%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Grêmio Anápolis 13%, draw 26%, Bom Jesus EC 61%.
  • Lower-risk option: Bom Jesus EC or draw (87%) at 1.17.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Bom Jesus EC to win (61%, odds 1.75 – longer than our fair 1.63, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Grêmio Anápolis 0–1 Bom Jesus EC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Grêmio Anápolis13%fair 7.99 · @4.10
Draw26%fair 3.83 · @3.25
Bom Jesus EC61%fair 1.63 · @1.75
2.26Expected goals
0.61Grêmio Anápolis xG
1.64Bom Jesus EC xG
39%Both score
40%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–117%
0–214%
1–111%
0–010%
1–29%
0–38%

From our goals model: Grêmio Anápolis 0.6 – 1.6 Bom Jesus EC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBom Jesus EC to win ✗61%1.631.75 ▲
Double chanceBom Jesus EC or draw ✓87%1.141.17
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗61%1.64–
Draw no betBom Jesus EC (draw no bet)83%1.20–
Asian handicapBom Jesus EC -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗62%1.60–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓66%1.52–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗60%1.661.57
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗81%1.24–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓92%1.09–
First team to scoreBom Jesus EC to score first ✓65%1.53–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗45%2.24–
Half-time / full-timeHT Bom Jesus EC / FT Bom Jesus EC ✗39%2.59–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗17%5.82–

Recent results

Grêmio Anápolis – last 6

LDDDLL
20 Sep@ Mineiros0–3L
13 Sep@ Goianésia2–2D
9 Sepvs Crixás EC1–1D
5 Sep@ Tupy FC1–1D
29 Aug@ Crixás EC1–2L
26 Augvs Goianésia1–2L
1.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Bom Jesus EC – last 6

DDLWLW
20 Sepvs Goiânia1–1D
13 Sepvs Tupy FC1–1D
9 Sep@ Mineiros0–1L
6 Sepvs Crixás EC2–1W
30 Augvs Mineiros1–2L
26 Aug@ Tupy FC1–0W
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

16 Aug 2026Bom Jesus EC v Grêmio Anápolis2–0
Grêmio Anápolis vs Bom Jesus EC head-to-head page →

Goiano 2 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Rio Verde181062+1736
2Goianésia18963+633
3Bom Jesus EC18873+831
4Mineiros18846+428
5Morrinhos18657023
6Goiânia18585-423
7Tupy FC18576-122
8Crixás EC18378-1016
9Grêmio Anápolis18369-715
10Trindade182610-1312

More Goiano 2 predictions

League hub
FT Goiânia2 Morrinhos1 139%2.05X23%3.00237%3.40 1.1–1.1xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 63%@1.50 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Grêmio Anápolis vs Bom Jesus EC?

Our pick is Bom Jesus EC to win with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.

Who will win Grêmio Anápolis vs Bom Jesus EC?

On our numbers Grêmio Anápolis have a 13% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Bom Jesus EC 61%.

How many goals will there be in Grêmio Anápolis vs Bom Jesus EC?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 39% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Grêmio Anápolis vs Bom Jesus EC?

Our predicted score is Grêmio Anápolis 0–1 Bom Jesus EC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Grêmio Anápolis vs Bom Jesus EC?

Grêmio Anápolis vs Bom Jesus EC (Goiano 2) kicks off on Wednesday 23 September 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.