Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.50 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
2
Value bet: Morrinhos to win @ 3.40 – our chance 37% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +26%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultGoiânia to win ✓39% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗54% · fair 1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.91
Goiânia vs Morrinhos: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
23:30 WAT, Wednesday 23 September: Goiânia v Morrinhos in the Goiano 2. In the table, Goiânia are 6th, lower half, on 23 points after 18 matches; Morrinhos are 5th (upper half) with 23. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Goiânia, last 5: DLLDD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Bom Jesus EC, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Morrinhos, last 5: DWLDL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Rio Verde, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (16 Aug 2026) it ended Morrinhos 2–0 Goiânia.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Goiânia 1.1 xG, Morrinhos 1.1 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 63%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Goiânia 39%, draw 23%, Morrinhos 37%.
Price worth noting: Morrinhos to win @3.40 – the bookmaker implies 29%, our ratings say 37%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (63%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Goiânia 1–1 Morrinhos. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Goiânia39%fair 2.53 · @2.05
Draw23%fair 4.28 · @3.00
Morrinhos37%fair 2.69 · @3.40
2.17Expected goals
1.11Goiânia xG
1.06Morrinhos xG
46%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–013%
0–112%
0–011%
2–17%
1–27%
From our goals model: Goiânia 1.1 – 1.1 Morrinhos expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Goiânia vs Morrinhos?
On our numbers Goiânia have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Morrinhos 37%.
How many goals will there be in Goiânia vs Morrinhos?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Goiânia vs Morrinhos?
Our predicted score is Goiânia 1–1 Morrinhos, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Goiânia vs Morrinhos?
Goiânia vs Morrinhos (Goiano 2) kicks off on Wednesday 23 September 2026 at 23:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
