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Germinal de Rawson v Juventud Unida Univ.: numbers & prediction

Torneo Federal A · Argentina · Estadio El Fortin
Germinal de Rawson 37%Draw 33%Juventud Unida Univ. 29% Expected goals 0.80 – 0.64
78%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.28 · Lost ✗

9/10Rating
1.28Odds

Picks by market

ResultGerminal de Rawson to win ✓37% · @2.30
Double chanceGerminal de Rawson or draw ✓71% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗57% · @1.40
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗78% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗19% · fair 5.28

Germinal de Rawson vs Juventud Unida Univ.: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

19:00 WAT, Sunday 2 August: Germinal de Rawson v Juventud Unida Univ. in the Torneo Federal A, played at Estadio El Fortin. In the table, Germinal de Rawson are 30th, lower half, on 18 points after 16 matches; Juventud Unida Univ. are 31st (lower half) with 17. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Germinal de Rawson, last 5: LLLWD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Guillermo Brown, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.2 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Juventud Unida Univ., last 5: DLDDL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Atenas, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.2 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Germinal de Rawson 0.8 xG, Juventud Unida Univ. 0.6 xG – a total near 1.4. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 78% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Germinal de Rawson 37%, draw 33%, Juventud Unida Univ. 29%.
  • Lower-risk option: Germinal de Rawson or draw (71%) at 1.30.
  • GG/NG: NG (57%) at 1.40.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (78%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Germinal de Rawson 0–0 Juventud Unida Univ.. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Germinal de Rawson37%fair 2.67 · @2.30
Draw33%fair 2.99 · @2.75
Juventud Unida Univ.29%fair 3.43 · @3.10
1.43Expected goals
0.80Germinal de Rawson xG
0.64Juventud Unida Univ. xG
43%Both score
22%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–024%
1–019%
0–115%
1–112%
2–08%
0–25%

From our goals model: Germinal de Rawson 0.8 – 0.6 Juventud Unida Univ. expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Germinal de RawsonJuventud Unida Univ.
Attack vs Torneo Federal A average-20%-26%
Goals conceded vs average+5%-25%
Our expected goals here0.720.56

Our own ratings from every Torneo Federal A result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultGerminal de Rawson to win ✓37%2.672.30
Double chanceGerminal de Rawson or draw ✓71%1.411.30
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗57%1.761.40
Draw no betGerminal de Rawson (draw no bet) ✓56%1.78–
Asian handicapJuventud Unida Univ. +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗64%1.56–
Over/under 1.5 goalsUnder 1.5 goals ✗53%1.881.91
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗78%1.281.28
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓91%1.101.07
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓95%1.051.01
First team to scoreGerminal de Rawson to score first42%2.37–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓59%1.71–
Half-time / full-timeHT Draw / FT Draw ✗31%3.27–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗19%5.28–

Recent results

Germinal de Rawson – last 6

LLLWDD
26 Jul@ Guillermo Brown0–2L
12 Julvs Olimpo Bahia Blanca0–1L
5 Jul@ Alvarado0–5L
28 Junvs Santamarina1–0W
14 Jun@ Villa Mitre0–0D
7 Junvs Circulo Deportivo0–0D
0.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
0%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Juventud Unida Univ. – last 6

DLDDLD
26 Jul@ Atenas0–0D
11 Julvs Cipolletti0–1L
27 Jun@ Argentino Monte Maíz0–0D
20 Junvs Fundacion Amigos0–0D
14 Jun@ Deportivo Rincon1–2L
7 Junvs Costa Brava0–0D
0.2Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Germinal de Rawson and Juventud Unida Univ..

Germinal de Rawson vs Juventud Unida Univ. head-to-head page →

Torneo Federal A table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Olimpo Bahia Blanca16871+931
2Douglas Haig18945+731
3Sportivo Belgrano18792+1230
4San Martin Formosa16934+630
5Alvarado16763+1227
6Gimnasia Chivilcoy18765+527
7Defensores de Belgrano VR18765+427
8Kimberley Mar del Plata16682+626
9Bartolomé Mitre16754+626
10Sol de América16826+526
11Juventud Antoniana16745+825
12Cipolletti16745+425
13Sarmiento de La Banda16745+225
149 de Julio Rafaela18747+125
15Sportivo Las Parejas18594-124
16Villa Mitre16583+623
17Argentino Monte Maíz16583+423
18Atenas16655-123
19Huracan Las Heras16655-223
20Atletico Escobar18648-822
21Fundacion Amigos16493+321
22Deportivo Rincon16547-319
23San Martín Mendoza16475-419
24Defensores de Vilelas16619-519
25Independiente De Chivilcoy18477-719
26El Linqueño18549-719
27Costa Brava16466-118
28Sol de Mayo16466-318
29Boca Unidos16538-618
30Germinal de Rawson16466-718
31Juventud Unida Univ.16385017
32Tucuman Central16529-517
33Gimnasia Concepción18459-617
34Guillermo Brown16457-717
35Sarmiento Resistencia16367-1115
36Santamarina16277-813
37Circulo Deportivo16277-813

More Torneo Federal A predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Germinal de Rawson vs Juventud Unida Univ.?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win Germinal de Rawson vs Juventud Unida Univ.?

On our numbers Germinal de Rawson have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 33% and Juventud Unida Univ. 29%.

How many goals will there be in Germinal de Rawson vs Juventud Unida Univ.?

We expect about 1.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 22% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Germinal de Rawson vs Juventud Unida Univ.?

Our predicted score is Germinal de Rawson 0–0 Juventud Unida Univ., the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.4 goals in total.

When is Germinal de Rawson vs Juventud Unida Univ.?

Germinal de Rawson vs Juventud Unida Univ. (Torneo Federal A) kicks off on Sunday 2 August 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio El Fortin.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.