Gimnasia Concepción 64%Draw 24%Tucuman Central 12%Expected goals 1.60 – 0.43
68%
Betarazi pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.47 · bookmaker 1.36 · Lost ✗
7/10Rating
1.36Odds
Picks by market
ResultGimnasia Concepción to win ✓64% · @1.57
Double chanceGimnasia Concepción or draw ✓88% · @1.08
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓60% · @1.33
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗68% · @1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗21% · fair 4.76
Gimnasia Concepción vs Tucuman Central: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 2 August the Torneo Federal A brings Gimnasia Concepción against Tucuman Central at Estadio Manuel y Ramon Nunez. Kick-off: 19:30 WAT. In the table, Gimnasia Concepción are 33rd, lower half, on 17 points after 18 matches; Tucuman Central are 32nd (lower half) with 17. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Gimnasia Concepción, last 5: LDWLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to El Linqueño, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Tucuman Central, last 5: DLLLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Sarmiento de La Banda, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Gimnasia Concepción 1.6 xG, Tucuman Central 0.4 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 68% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Gimnasia Concepción 64%, draw 24%, Tucuman Central 12%.
GG/NG: NG (60%) at 1.33.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (68%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Gimnasia Concepción 1–0 Tucuman Central. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Gimnasia Concepción64%fair 1.55 · @1.57
Draw24%fair 4.19 · @3.10
Tucuman Central12%fair 8.57 · @6.00
2.03Expected goals
1.60Gimnasia Concepción xG
0.43Tucuman Central xG
40%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–021%
2–017%
0–013%
1–19%
3–09%
2–17%
From our goals model: Gimnasia Concepción 1.6 – 0.4 Tucuman Central expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Gimnasia Concepción
Tucuman Central
Attack vs Torneo Federal A average
-14%
-8%
Goals conceded vs average
-40%
+77%
Our expected goals here
1.83
0.39
Our own ratings from every Torneo Federal A result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Gimnasia Concepción to win✓
64%
1.55
1.57
Double chance
Gimnasia Concepción or draw✓
88%
1.13
1.08
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
60%
1.68
1.33
Draw no bet
Gimnasia Concepción (draw no bet)✓
85%
1.18
–
Asian handicap
Gimnasia Concepción -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
58%
1.73
1.67
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
68%
1.47
1.36
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
85%
1.17
1.10
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.08
1.02
First team to score
Gimnasia Concepción to score first✓
68%
1.46
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.15
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Gimnasia Concepción / FT Gimnasia Concepción✓
41%
2.43
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
21%
4.76
–
Recent results
Gimnasia Concepción – last 6
LDWLLD
26 Jul
vs El Linqueño
0–1
L
12 Jul
@ Gimnasia Chivilcoy
0–0
D
5 Jul
vs 9 de Julio Rafaela
3–0
W
28 Jun
@ Atletico Escobar
1–2
L
21 Jun
vs Sportivo Las Parejas
0–1
L
14 Jun
@ Independiente De Chivilcoy
0–0
D
0.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Tucuman Central – last 6
DLLLWL
26 Jul
vs Sarmiento de La Banda
1–1
D
12 Jul
@ Juventud Antoniana
1–3
L
5 Jul
vs Sol de América
0–1
L
28 Jun
@ Sarmiento Resistencia
0–1
L
21 Jun
vs Boca Unidos
2–0
W
7 Jun
@ San Martin Formosa
2–3
L
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Gimnasia Concepción and Tucuman Central.
What is the prediction for Gimnasia Concepción vs Tucuman Central?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Gimnasia Concepción vs Tucuman Central?
On our numbers Gimnasia Concepción have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Tucuman Central 12%.
How many goals will there be in Gimnasia Concepción vs Tucuman Central?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 40% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gimnasia Concepción vs Tucuman Central?
Our predicted score is Gimnasia Concepción 1–0 Tucuman Central, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Gimnasia Concepción vs Tucuman Central?
Gimnasia Concepción vs Tucuman Central (Torneo Federal A) kicks off on Sunday 2 August 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Manuel y Ramon Nunez.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
