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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Sol de Mayo v Santamarina: numbers & prediction

Torneo Federal A · Argentina · Estadio Sol De Mayo
1–0
FT
Sol de Mayo 58%Draw 26%Santamarina 16% Expected goals 1.53 – 0.68
64%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.50 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.50Odds

Picks by market

ResultSol de Mayo to win ✓58% · @1.67
Double chanceSol de Mayo or draw ✓84% · @1.12
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · @1.50
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓17% · fair 5.94

Sol de Mayo vs Santamarina: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Santamarina travel to face Sol de Mayo on Sunday 2 August in the Torneo Federal A, with Estadio Sol De Mayo the venue – the ball rolls at 19:00 WAT. In the table, Sol de Mayo are 28th, lower half, on 18 points after 16 matches; Santamarina are 36th (in the drop zone) with 13.

Current form

Sol de Mayo, last 5: DLLWD Their latest outing: 3–3 draw with Villa Mitre, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Santamarina, last 5: LDLLD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Olimpo Bahia Blanca, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.2 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Head to head

When they last met (31 May 2026) it ended Sol de Mayo 3–2 Santamarina.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Sol de Mayo 1.5 xG, Santamarina 0.7 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 38%, GG 47%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Sol de Mayo 58%, draw 26%, Santamarina 16%.
  • GG/NG: NG (53%) at 1.50.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (64%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sol de Mayo 2–0 Santamarina. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Sol de Mayo58%fair 1.72 · @1.67
Draw26%fair 3.81 · @3.20
Santamarina16%fair 6.41 · @5.00
2.21Expected goals
1.53Sol de Mayo xG
0.68Santamarina xG
47%Both score
38%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–017%
2–013%
1–111%
0–011%
2–19%
0–17%

From our goals model: Sol de Mayo 1.5 – 0.7 Santamarina expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Sol de MayoSantamarina
Attack vs Torneo Federal A average-3%-29%
Goals conceded vs average+55%+47%
Our expected goals here1.710.79

Our own ratings from every Torneo Federal A result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSol de Mayo to win ✓58%1.721.67
Double chanceSol de Mayo or draw ✓84%1.181.12
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓53%1.901.50
Draw no betSol de Mayo (draw no bet) ✓79%1.27–
Asian handicapSantamarina +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓69%1.44–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗64%1.571.50
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓62%1.611.50
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81%1.241.17
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓91%1.101.05
First team to scoreSol de Mayo to score first ✓62%1.62–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓46%2.18–
Half-time / full-timeHT Sol de Mayo / FT Sol de Mayo ✗35%2.85–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓17%5.94–

Recent results

Sol de Mayo – last 6

DLLWDL
26 Julvs Villa Mitre3–3D
12 Jul@ Circulo Deportivo1–3L
5 Julvs Kimberley Mar del Plata1–2L
21 Jun@ Guillermo Brown1–0W
14 Junvs Olimpo Bahia Blanca1–1D
7 Jun@ Alvarado0–2L
1.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Santamarina – last 6

LDLLDW
26 Jul@ Olimpo Bahia Blanca0–2L
11 Julvs Alvarado0–0D
28 Jun@ Germinal de Rawson0–1L
20 Junvs Villa Mitre0–2L
14 Jun@ Circulo Deportivo0–0D
7 Junvs Kimberley Mar del Plata1–0W
0.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Head to head

31 May 2026Sol de Mayo v Santamarina3–2
Sol de Mayo vs Santamarina head-to-head page →

Torneo Federal A table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Olimpo Bahia Blanca16871+931
2Douglas Haig18945+731
3Sportivo Belgrano18792+1230
4San Martin Formosa16934+630
5Alvarado16763+1227
6Gimnasia Chivilcoy18765+527
7Defensores de Belgrano VR18765+427
8Kimberley Mar del Plata16682+626
9Bartolomé Mitre16754+626
10Sol de América16826+526
11Juventud Antoniana16745+825
12Cipolletti16745+425
13Sarmiento de La Banda16745+225
149 de Julio Rafaela18747+125
15Sportivo Las Parejas18594-124
16Villa Mitre16583+623
17Argentino Monte Maíz16583+423
18Atenas16655-123
19Huracan Las Heras16655-223
20Atletico Escobar18648-822
21Fundacion Amigos16493+321
22Deportivo Rincon16547-319
23San Martín Mendoza16475-419
24Defensores de Vilelas16619-519
25Independiente De Chivilcoy18477-719
26El Linqueño18549-719
27Costa Brava16466-118
28Sol de Mayo16466-318
29Boca Unidos16538-618
30Germinal de Rawson16466-718
31Juventud Unida Univ.16385017
32Tucuman Central16529-517
33Gimnasia Concepción18459-617
34Guillermo Brown16457-717
35Sarmiento Resistencia16367-1115
36Santamarina16277-813
37Circulo Deportivo16277-813

More Torneo Federal A predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Sol de Mayo vs Santamarina?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win Sol de Mayo vs Santamarina?

On our numbers Sol de Mayo have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Santamarina 16%.

How many goals will there be in Sol de Mayo vs Santamarina?

We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Sol de Mayo vs Santamarina?

Our predicted score is Sol de Mayo 2–0 Santamarina, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.

When is Sol de Mayo vs Santamarina?

Sol de Mayo vs Santamarina (Torneo Federal A) kicks off on Sunday 2 August 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Sol De Mayo.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.