Value bet: Shonan Bellmare to win @ 2.90 – our chance 37% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultSagan Tosu to win ✓40% · @2.35
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.61
Shonan Bellmare vs Sagan Tosu: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Tuesday 3 November the J2 League brings Shonan Bellmare against Sagan Tosu at Lemon Gas Stadium. Kick-off: 06:00 WAT. In the table, Shonan Bellmare are 10th, upper half, on 23 points after 16 matches; Sagan Tosu are 13th (lower half) with 20. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Shonan Bellmare, last 5: LWDDD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Consadole Sapporo, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Sagan Tosu, last 5: LLWLW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Jubilo Iwata, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Sagan Tosu, collecting 1.5 points per game to 1.0 for Shonan Bellmare.
Head to head
When they last met (6 Jun 2026) it ended Sagan Tosu 1–0 Shonan Bellmare.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Shonan Bellmare 1.1 xG, Sagan Tosu 1.2 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Shonan Bellmare 37%, draw 23%, Sagan Tosu 40%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.80.
Price worth noting: Shonan Bellmare to win @2.90 – the bookmaker implies 34%, our ratings say 37%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Shonan Bellmare 1–1 Sagan Tosu. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Shonan Bellmare37%fair 2.71 · @2.90
Draw23%fair 4.40 · @3.25
Sagan Tosu40%fair 2.48 · @2.35
2.34Expected goals
1.14Shonan Bellmare xG
1.20Sagan Tosu xG
55%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–112%
1–011%
0–010%
1–28%
2–17%
From our goals model: Shonan Bellmare 1.1 – 1.2 Sagan Tosu expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Shonan Bellmare vs Sagan Tosu?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Shonan Bellmare vs Sagan Tosu?
On our numbers Shonan Bellmare have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Sagan Tosu 40%.
How many goals will there be in Shonan Bellmare vs Sagan Tosu?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Shonan Bellmare vs Sagan Tosu?
Our predicted score is Shonan Bellmare 1–1 Sagan Tosu, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Shonan Bellmare vs Sagan Tosu?
Shonan Bellmare vs Sagan Tosu (J2 League) kicks off on Tuesday 3 November 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at Lemon Gas Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
