Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
2
Value bet: Tokushima Vortis to win @ 2.88 – our chance 39% vs 35% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultTokushima Vortis to win ✗39% · @2.88
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.33
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13% · fair 7.90
Montedio Yamagata vs Tokushima Vortis: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Tokushima Vortis travel to face Montedio Yamagata on Tuesday 3 November in the J2 League, with ND Soft Stadium Yamagata the venue – the ball rolls at 06:00 WAT. In the table, Montedio Yamagata are 14th, lower half, on 19 points after 16 matches; Tokushima Vortis are 15th (lower half) with 17. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Montedio Yamagata, last 5: WLLDL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Vanraure Hachinohe, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Tokushima Vortis, last 5: LWLDL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Yokohama FC, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Montedio Yamagata 1.1 xG, Tokushima Vortis 1.1 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 60%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Montedio Yamagata 38%, draw 23%, Tokushima Vortis 39%.
GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.83.
Price worth noting: Tokushima Vortis to win @2.88 – the bookmaker implies 35%, our ratings say 39%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (79%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Montedio Yamagata 1–1 Tokushima Vortis. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Montedio Yamagata38%fair 2.62 · @2.45
Draw23%fair 4.33 · @3.20
Tokushima Vortis39%fair 2.58 · @2.88
2.14Expected goals
1.06Montedio Yamagata xG
1.08Tokushima Vortis xG
49%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–113%
1–012%
0–012%
1–27%
2–17%
From our goals model: Montedio Yamagata 1.1 – 1.1 Tokushima Vortis expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Tokushima Vortis to win✗
39%
2.58
2.88 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.33
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
51%
1.95
1.83
Draw no bet
Tokushima Vortis (draw no bet)✗
50%
1.98
–
Asian handicap
Montedio Yamagata +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
64%
1.55
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
66%
1.52
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.67
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.09
1.07
First team to score
Tokushima Vortis to score first✗
44%
2.25
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
48%
2.08
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
20%
4.95
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
13%
7.90
–
Recent results
Montedio Yamagata – last 6
WLLDLL
31 Oct
@ Vanraure Hachinohe
2–1
W
25 Oct
vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki
0–2
L
21 Oct
vs Consadole Sapporo
0–2
L
17 Oct
@ Fujieda MYFC
0–0
D
11 Oct
vs Vegalta Sendai
0–1
L
3 Oct
@ Oita Trinita
1–2
L
0.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Tokushima Vortis – last 6
LWLDLL
31 Oct
vs Yokohama FC
0–1
L
24 Oct
@ Fujieda MYFC
1–0
W
21 Oct
vs Vanraure Hachinohe
0–1
L
17 Oct
@ Vegalta Sendai
0–0
D
10 Oct
vs Imabari
1–2
L
3 Oct
@ Albirex Niigata
1–2
L
0.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Montedio Yamagata and Tokushima Vortis.
What is the prediction for Montedio Yamagata vs Tokushima Vortis?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Montedio Yamagata vs Tokushima Vortis?
On our numbers Montedio Yamagata have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Tokushima Vortis 39%.
How many goals will there be in Montedio Yamagata vs Tokushima Vortis?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Montedio Yamagata vs Tokushima Vortis?
Our predicted score is Montedio Yamagata 1–1 Tokushima Vortis, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Montedio Yamagata vs Tokushima Vortis?
Montedio Yamagata vs Tokushima Vortis (J2 League) kicks off on Tuesday 3 November 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at ND Soft Stadium Yamagata.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
