Tegevajaro Miyazaki 63%Draw 23%Tochigi City 14%Expected goals 2.08 – 0.91
86%
Betarazi pick
Tegevajaro Miyazaki or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Tegevajaro Miyazaki to win @ 1.83 – our chance 63% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultTegevajaro Miyazaki to win ✓63% · @1.83
Double chanceTegevajaro Miyazaki or draw ✓86% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.10
Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Tochigi City: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
06:00 WAT, Tuesday 3 November: Tegevajaro Miyazaki v Tochigi City in the J2 League, played at Unilever Stadium Shintomi. In the table, Tegevajaro Miyazaki are 6th, upper half, on 29 points after 16 matches; Tochigi City are 18th (in the drop zone) with 12. There are 17 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Tegevajaro Miyazaki, last 5: WWWDD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Oita Trinita, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Tochigi City, last 5: LLDDL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Iwaki, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Tegevajaro Miyazaki, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.3 for Tochigi City.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Tegevajaro Miyazaki 2.1 xG, Tochigi City 0.9 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 58% for three or more goals, 61% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Tegevajaro Miyazaki 63%, draw 23%, Tochigi City 14%.
Lower-risk option: Tegevajaro Miyazaki or draw (86%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.57.
Price worth noting: Tegevajaro Miyazaki to win @1.83 – the bookmaker implies 55%, our ratings say 63%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Tegevajaro Miyazaki or draw (86%, odds 1.25 – longer than our fair 1.17, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tegevajaro Miyazaki 2–0 Tochigi City. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Tegevajaro Miyazaki63%fair 1.59 · @1.83
Draw23%fair 4.42 · @3.60
Tochigi City14%fair 6.98 · @4.00
2.99Expected goals
2.08Tegevajaro Miyazaki xG
0.91Tochigi City xG
61%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–011%
1–010%
2–110%
1–110%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Tegevajaro Miyazaki 2.1 – 0.9 Tochigi City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Tegevajaro Miyazaki to win✓
63%
1.59
1.83 ▲
Double chance
Tegevajaro Miyazaki or draw✓
86%
1.17
1.25 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
61%
1.65
1.57
Draw no bet
Tegevajaro Miyazaki (draw no bet)✓
81%
1.23
–
Asian handicap
Tegevajaro Miyazaki -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.26
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.73
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
1.50
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
80%
1.24
1.18
First team to score
Tegevajaro Miyazaki to score first✓
66%
1.52
–
Half-time result
Tegevajaro Miyazaki ahead at half-time✓
47%
2.14
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Tegevajaro Miyazaki / FT Tegevajaro Miyazaki✓
41%
2.41
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.10
–
Recent results
Tegevajaro Miyazaki – last 6
WWWDDL
31 Oct
vs Oita Trinita
2–0
W
25 Oct
@ Montedio Yamagata
2–0
W
21 Oct
vs Blaublitz Akita
2–1
W
17 Oct
vs Jubilo Iwata
1–1
D
11 Oct
@ Kataller Toyama
1–1
D
7 Oct
@ Kawasaki Frontale
0–2
L
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Tochigi City – last 6
LLDDLL
31 Oct
vs Iwaki
1–3
L
25 Oct
@ Shonan Bellmare
1–2
L
21 Oct
vs Fujieda MYFC
2–2
D
17 Oct
vs Yokohama FC
1–1
D
10 Oct
@ Ventforet Kofu
1–2
L
3 Oct
vs Imabari
1–2
L
1.2Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tegevajaro Miyazaki and Tochigi City.
What is the prediction for Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Tochigi City?
Our pick is Tegevajaro Miyazaki or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Tochigi City?
On our numbers Tegevajaro Miyazaki have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Tochigi City 14%.
How many goals will there be in Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Tochigi City?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Tochigi City?
Our predicted score is Tegevajaro Miyazaki 2–0 Tochigi City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Tochigi City?
Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Tochigi City (J2 League) kicks off on Tuesday 3 November 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at Unilever Stadium Shintomi.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.