Value bet: Draw @ 3.90 – our chance 49% vs 26% implied by the price (edge +92%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultDraw ✗49% · @3.90
Double chanceVikingur Reykjavik or draw ✓76% · @1.48
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓65% · @1.40
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–2 ✗7% · fair 15.20
Vikingur Reykjavik vs FC Thun: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
18:30 WAT, Thursday 13 August: Vikingur Reykjavik v FC Thun in the UEFA Europa League, played at Víkingsvollur Stadium.
Current form
Vikingur Reykjavik, last 5: DLDLW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with IBV Vestmannaeyjar, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
FC Thun, last 5: LWLDW Their latest outing: 2–4 defeat to FC Basel 1893, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (6 Aug 2026) it ended FC Thun 3–0 Vikingur Reykjavik.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Vikingur Reykjavik 1.6 xG, FC Thun 1.5 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 62% and GG at 65%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Vikingur Reykjavik 27%, draw 49%, FC Thun 24%.
Lower-risk option: Vikingur Reykjavik or draw (76%) at 1.48.
GG/NG: GG (65%) at 1.40.
Price worth noting: Draw @3.90 – the bookmaker implies 26%, our ratings say 49%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Vikingur Reykjavik or draw (76%, odds 1.48 – longer than our fair 1.32, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Vikingur Reykjavik 1–1 FC Thun. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Vikingur Reykjavik27%fair 3.76 · @2.36
Draw49%fair 2.03 · @3.90
FC Thun24%fair 4.15 · @2.56
3.15Expected goals
1.60Vikingur Reykjavik xG
1.54FC Thun xG
65%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–19%
1–28%
1–07%
0–17%
2–27%
From our goals model: Vikingur Reykjavik 1.6 – 1.5 FC Thun expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Vikingur Reykjavik vs FC Thun?
Our pick is Vikingur Reykjavik or draw with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win Vikingur Reykjavik vs FC Thun?
On our numbers Vikingur Reykjavik have a 27% chance of winning, the draw 49% and FC Thun 24%.
How many goals will there be in Vikingur Reykjavik vs FC Thun?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Vikingur Reykjavik vs FC Thun?
Our predicted score is Vikingur Reykjavik 1–1 FC Thun, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Vikingur Reykjavik vs FC Thun?
Vikingur Reykjavik vs FC Thun (UEFA Europa League) kicks off on Thursday 13 August 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at Víkingsvollur Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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