Pafos v Red Bull Salzburg Prediction & Expected Goals (13 Aug) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultPafos to win ✗41% · @2.88

Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.22

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.57

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.22

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.31

Pafos vs Red Bull Salzburg: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

18:00 WAT, Thursday 13 August: Pafos v Red Bull Salzburg in the UEFA Europa League, played at Alphamega Stadium.

Current form

Pafos, last 5: LWLLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Red Bull Salzburg, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Red Bull Salzburg, last 5: DWWWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Wolfsberger AC, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Red Bull Salzburg, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.7 for Pafos.

Head to head

When they last met (6 Aug 2026) it ended Red Bull Salzburg 1–0 Pafos.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Pafos 1.3 xG, Red Bull Salzburg 1.2 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 57%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Pafos 41%, draw 21%, Red Bull Salzburg 38%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.57.
Price worth noting: Pafos to win @2.88 – the bookmaker implies 35%, our ratings say 41%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (72%, odds 1.42). Most likely score in line with that pick: Pafos 1–1 Red Bull Salzburg. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Pafos41%fair 2.44 · @2.88

Draw21%fair 4.75 · @3.60

Red Bull Salzburg38%fair 2.63 · @2.25

2.45Expected goals

1.26Pafos xG

1.19Red Bull Salzburg xG

57%Both score

50%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%

1–011%

0–110%

0–09%

2–18%

1–28%

From our goals model: Pafos 1.3 – 1.2 Red Bull Salzburg expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Pafos to win ✗	41%	2.44	2.88 ▲
Double chance	Either team to win ✗	79%	1.27	1.22
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	57%	1.74	1.57
Draw no bet	Pafos (draw no bet)	52%	1.93	–
Asian handicap	Red Bull Salzburg +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓	62%	1.61	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	73%	1.36	1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✗	50%	1.99	2.10 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✗	72%	1.40	1.42
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✗	86%	1.16	1.15
First team to score	Pafos to score first ✓	47%	2.13	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	45%	2.24	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Pafos / FT Pafos ✗	22%	4.61	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	8%	12.31	–

Pafos – last 6

LWLLLD

6 Aug	@ Red Bull Salzburg	0–1	L
30 Jul	vs HNK Hajduk Split	2–0	W
23 Jul	@ HNK Hajduk Split	0–2	L
16 Jul	@ Slovan Bratislava	2–3	L
12 Jul	@ Jagiellonia	0–1	L
8 Jul	@ FK Jablonec	0–0	D

0.7Scored / game

1.2Conceded / game

17%Both scored

17%Over 2.5

Red Bull Salzburg – last 6

DWWWLL

9 Aug	@ Wolfsberger AC	1–1	D
6 Aug	vs Pafos	1–0	W
1 Aug	vs TSV Hartberg	1–0	W
25 Jul	@ Oberwart	7–1	W
15 Jul	vs Başakşehir	1–2	L
15 Jul	vs Gamba Osaka	0–3	L

1.8Scored / game

1.2Conceded / game

50%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Benfica	4	4	0	0	+10	12
2	Bournemouth	4	4	0	0	+9	12
3	Ferencvarosi TC	4	4	0	0	+8	12
4	Union St. Gilloise	4	3	1	0	+8	10
5	Juventus	4	3	1	0	+7	10
6	Olympiakos Piraeus	4	3	1	0	+3	10
7	Bayer Leverkusen	4	3	0	1	+7	9
8	Beşiktaş	4	2	1	1	+3	7
9	Dinamo Zagreb	4	2	1	1	+1	7
10	Levski Sofia	4	2	1	1	+1	7
11	Sunderland	4	2	1	1	0	7
12	NEC Nijmegen	4	2	1	1	-1	7
13	Lyon	4	2	1	1	-1	7
14	AZ Alkmaar	4	2	0	2	+3	6
15	Anderlecht	4	2	0	2	+3	6
16	OFI	4	2	0	2	+1	6
17	Rennes	4	1	3	0	+1	6
18	Omonia Nicosia	4	2	0	2	-1	6
19	Torreense	4	2	0	2	-2	6
20	Real Sociedad	4	1	2	1	+5	5
21	Crystal Palace	4	1	2	1	+3	5
22	Sparta Praha	4	1	1	2	0	4
23	1899 Hoffenheim	4	1	1	2	0	4
24	Sturm Graz	4	1	1	2	-3	4
25	Celje	4	1	1	2	-4	4
26	Red Bull Salzburg	4	1	1	2	-5	4
27	Celta Vigo	4	1	0	3	-2	3
28	AC Milan	4	1	0	3	-3	3
29	Jagiellonia	4	1	0	3	-3	3
30	Plzen	4	1	0	3	-4	3
31	Marseille	4	1	0	3	-4	3
32	Celtic	4	1	0	3	-5	3
33	Hapoel Beer Sheva	4	0	1	3	-7	1
34	Lillestrom	4	0	1	3	-8	1
35	Lech Poznan	4	0	1	3	-10	1
36	Ararat-Armenia	4	0	0	4	-10	0

Team

Pts

+10

-1

-1

-1

-2

-3

-4

-5

-2

-3

-3

-4

-4

-5

-7

-8

-10

-10

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Pafos vs Red Bull Salzburg?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.

Who will win Pafos vs Red Bull Salzburg?

On our numbers Pafos have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Red Bull Salzburg 38%.

How many goals will there be in Pafos vs Red Bull Salzburg?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Pafos vs Red Bull Salzburg?

Our predicted score is Pafos 1–1 Red Bull Salzburg, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Pafos vs Red Bull Salzburg?

Pafos vs Red Bull Salzburg (UEFA Europa League) kicks off on Thursday 13 August 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Alphamega Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Pafos v Red Bull Salzburg: numbers & prediction

Pafos

Red Bull Salzburg

Under 3.5 goals

Picks by market

Pafos vs Red Bull Salzburg: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Current form

Head to head

Where the goals come from

Markets worth a look

Our call before kick-off

Result chances

Score grid: top six

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Recent results

Pafos – last 6

Red Bull Salzburg – last 6

Head to head

UEFA Europa League table

More UEFA Europa League predictions

Frequently asked questions