Value bet: Anderlecht to win @ 2.90 – our chance 38% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultPAOK to win ✗41% · @2.28
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.98
Anderlecht vs PAOK: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Thursday 13 August the UEFA Europa League brings Anderlecht against PAOK at Lotto Park. Kick-off: 19:30 WAT.
Current form
Anderlecht, last 5: WWWDW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over RAAL La Louvière, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
PAOK, last 5: LWWLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Anderlecht, at home. The attack is flying at 2.3 goals per game.
Head to head
When they last met (6 Aug 2026) it ended PAOK 0–1 Anderlecht.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Anderlecht 1.3 xG, PAOK 1.3 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Anderlecht 38%, draw 21%, PAOK 41%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.70.
Price worth noting: Anderlecht to win @2.90 – the bookmaker implies 34%, our ratings say 38%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (73%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Anderlecht 1–1 PAOK. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Anderlecht38%fair 2.66 · @2.90
Draw21%fair 4.68 · @3.50
PAOK41%fair 2.44 · @2.28
2.57Expected goals
1.25Anderlecht xG
1.32PAOK xG
59%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–110%
1–010%
1–28%
2–18%
0–08%
From our goals model: Anderlecht 1.3 – 1.3 PAOK expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Anderlecht vs PAOK?
On our numbers Anderlecht have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 21% and PAOK 41%.
How many goals will there be in Anderlecht vs PAOK?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Anderlecht vs PAOK?
Our predicted score is Anderlecht 1–1 PAOK, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Anderlecht vs PAOK?
Anderlecht vs PAOK (UEFA Europa League) kicks off on Thursday 13 August 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Lotto Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.