Value bet: Busan I Park to win @ 2.85 – our chance 41% vs 35% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultBusan I Park to win ✗41% · @2.85
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.55
Busan I Park vs Bucheon FC 1995: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Bucheon FC 1995 travel to face Busan I Park on Wednesday 19 August in the FA Cup, with Busan Gudeok Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 11:30 WAT.
Current form
Busan I Park, last 5: DLLWL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Hwaseong, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Bucheon FC 1995, last 5: WDWWD Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Jeonbuk Motors, at home. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Bucheon FC 1995, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.7 for Busan I Park.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Busan I Park 1.4 xG, Bucheon FC 1995 1.3 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Busan I Park 41%, draw 23%, Bucheon FC 1995 36%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.80.
Price worth noting: Busan I Park to win @2.85 – the bookmaker implies 35%, our ratings say 41%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (72%, odds 1.35). Most likely score in line with that pick: Busan I Park 1–1 Bucheon FC 1995. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Busan I Park41%fair 2.42 · @2.85
Draw23%fair 4.34 · @3.10
Bucheon FC 199536%fair 2.80 · @2.33
2.74Expected goals
1.43Busan I Park xG
1.31Bucheon FC 1995 xG
58%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–07%
From our goals model: Busan I Park 1.4 – 1.3 Bucheon FC 1995 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Busan I Park to win✗
41%
2.42
2.85 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.30
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.71
1.80 ▲
Draw no bet
Busan I Park (draw no bet)
54%
1.86
–
Asian handicap
Bucheon FC 1995 +1 (Asian handicap)✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
72%
1.38
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.94
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.38
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
First team to score
Busan I Park to score first✗
49%
2.05
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.39
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Busan I Park / FT Busan I Park✗
23%
4.27
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.55
–
Recent results
Busan I Park – last 6
DLLWLL
15 Aug
vs Hwaseong
0–0
D
7 Aug
@ Yongin City
0–2
L
2 Aug
vs Seoul E-Land FC
1–2
L
29 Jul
vs FC Seoul
2–0
W
25 Jul
vs Suwon Bluewings
1–4
L
18 Jul
@ Seongnam FC
0–1
L
0.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Bucheon FC 1995 – last 6
WDWWDL
16 Aug
vs Jeonbuk Motors
3–2
W
8 Aug
vs Gwangju FC
0–0
D
1 Aug
@ Gangwon FC
3–0
W
29 Jul
vs Paju Citizen
3–0
W
26 Jul
@ Incheon United
1–1
D
22 Jul
vs FC Anyang
2–3
L
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Busan I Park and Bucheon FC 1995.
What is the prediction for Busan I Park vs Bucheon FC 1995?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.
Who will win Busan I Park vs Bucheon FC 1995?
On our numbers Busan I Park have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Bucheon FC 1995 36%.
How many goals will there be in Busan I Park vs Bucheon FC 1995?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Busan I Park vs Bucheon FC 1995?
Our predicted score is Busan I Park 1–1 Bucheon FC 1995, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Busan I Park vs Bucheon FC 1995?
Busan I Park vs Bucheon FC 1995 (FA Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 19 August 2026 at 11:30 (West Africa Time) at Busan Gudeok Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
FA Cup · South-Korea · Busan Gudeok Stadium
Jeonbuk Motors2
Dangjin Citizen2
Pohang Steelers3
Jinju Citizen1
Ulsan Citizen0
Gwangju FC1
FC Anyang2
Jeju United FC1