Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.50 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
Picks by market
ResultPohang Steelers to win ✓68% · @1.30
Double chancePohang Steelers or draw ✓87% · @1.01
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.64
Pohang Steelers vs Jinju Citizen: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
11:00 WAT, Wednesday 19 August: Pohang Steelers v Jinju Citizen in the FA Cup, played at Pohang Steel Yard.
Current form
Pohang Steelers, last 5: WLLLL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Gwangju FC, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Jinju Citizen, last 4: DWWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Busan Transportation, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Jinju Citizen, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.5 for Pohang Steelers.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Pohang Steelers 2.0 xG, Jinju Citizen 0.7 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 54%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Pohang Steelers 68%, draw 19%, Jinju Citizen 13%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (67%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Pohang Steelers 1–0 Jinju Citizen. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Pohang Steelers68%fair 1.47 · @1.30
Draw19%fair 5.16 · @4.60
Jinju Citizen13%fair 7.86 · @9.20
2.67Expected goals
1.97Pohang Steelers xG
0.70Jinju Citizen xG
54%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
2–013%
1–110%
2–19%
3–09%
0–07%
From our goals model: Pohang Steelers 2.0 – 0.7 Jinju Citizen expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Pohang Steelers to win✓
68%
1.47
1.30
Double chance
Pohang Steelers or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.01
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.86
1.85
Draw no bet
Pohang Steelers (draw no bet)✓
84%
1.19
–
Asian handicap
Pohang Steelers -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.48
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.31
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.86
1.60
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
67%
1.49
1.50
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
1.22
First team to score
Pohang Steelers to score first✗
69%
1.45
–
Half-time result
Pohang Steelers ahead at half-time✗
48%
2.09
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Pohang Steelers / FT Pohang Steelers✗
43%
2.30
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.64
–
Recent results
Pohang Steelers – last 6
WLLLLL
15 Aug
@ Gwangju FC
2–1
W
8 Aug
vs Ulsan Hyundai FC
0–2
L
1 Aug
vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC
0–1
L
25 Jul
vs Jeonbuk Motors
0–2
L
22 Jul
@ FC Seoul
1–3
L
18 Jul
@ Jeju United FC
1–2
L
0.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Jinju Citizen – last 4
DWWD
29 Jul
@ Busan Transportation
1–1
D
26 Jul
@ Pyeongtaek Citizen
2–0
W
15 Jul
@ Ansan Greeners
2–0
W
4 Jul
vs Sejong SA
1–1
D
1.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Pohang Steelers and Jinju Citizen.
What is the prediction for Pohang Steelers vs Jinju Citizen?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Pohang Steelers vs Jinju Citizen?
On our numbers Pohang Steelers have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Jinju Citizen 13%.
How many goals will there be in Pohang Steelers vs Jinju Citizen?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Pohang Steelers vs Jinju Citizen?
Our predicted score is Pohang Steelers 1–0 Jinju Citizen, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Pohang Steelers vs Jinju Citizen?
Pohang Steelers vs Jinju Citizen (FA Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 19 August 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Pohang Steel Yard.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
FA Cup · South-Korea · Pohang Steel Yard
Jeonbuk Motors2
Dangjin Citizen2
Ulsan Citizen0
Gwangju FC1
FC Anyang2
Jeju United FC1
Busan I Park0
Bucheon FC 19950