AS Marsa vs ES Sahel: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 12 September the Ligue 1 brings AS Marsa against ES Sahel at Abdelaziz Chtioui Stadium. Kick-off: 16:00 WAT. In the table, AS Marsa are 11th, lower half, on 6 points after 6 matches; ES Sahel are 10th (lower half) with 8. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
AS Marsa, last 5: LDLDW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to ES Tunis, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
ES Sahel, last 5: DWLLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Jeunesse Sportive Omrane, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 4 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours AS Marsa, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.7 for ES Sahel.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give AS Marsa 1.0 xG, ES Sahel 1.4 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 51%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – AS Marsa 27%, draw 25%, ES Sahel 48%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.10.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (51%, odds 2.10 – longer than our fair 1.96, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: AS Marsa 1–1 ES Sahel. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
AS Marsa27%fair 3.66 · @3.40
Draw25%fair 3.97 · @2.75
ES Sahel48%fair 2.10 · @2.20
2.33Expected goals
0.96AS Marsa xG
1.37ES Sahel xG
51%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–113%
1–113%
0–010%
1–09%
0–29%
1–29%
From our goals model: AS Marsa 1.0 – 1.4 ES Sahel expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
ES Sahel to win✗
48%
2.10
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.34
1.40
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.96
2.10 ▲
Draw no bet
ES Sahel (draw no bet)✗
64%
1.57
–
Asian handicap
AS Marsa +1 (Asian handicap)✓
71%
1.41
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.70
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
First team to score
ES Sahel to score first✗
53%
1.88
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.19
–
Half-time / full-time
HT ES Sahel / FT ES Sahel✗
27%
3.67
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.40
–
Recent results
AS Marsa – last 6
LDLDWW
6 Sep
@ ES Tunis
1–2
L
29 Aug
vs Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer
0–0
D
23 Aug
@ CA Bizertin
0–1
L
12 May
@ Jeunesse Sportive Omrane
2–2
D
4 May
@ CA Bizertin
2–1
W
30 Apr
vs ES Zarzis
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
ES Sahel – last 6
DWLLLL
6 Sep
vs Jeunesse Sportive Omrane
1–1
D
30 Aug
vs ES Metlaoui
2–1
W
23 Aug
@ ES Tunis
2–3
L
14 May
@ CS Sfaxien
1–3
L
4 May
@ ES Zarzis
1–3
L
29 Apr
@ ES Metlaoui
0–2
L
1.2Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between AS Marsa and ES Sahel.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.10.
Who will win AS Marsa vs ES Sahel?
On our numbers AS Marsa have a 27% chance of winning, the draw 25% and ES Sahel 48%.
How many goals will there be in AS Marsa vs ES Sahel?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for AS Marsa vs ES Sahel?
Our predicted score is AS Marsa 1–1 ES Sahel, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is AS Marsa vs ES Sahel?
AS Marsa vs ES Sahel (Ligue 1) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Abdelaziz Chtioui Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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