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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

ES Hammam-Sousse v Stade Tunisien: numbers & prediction

Ligue 1 · Tunisia · Stade Municipal Bou Ali-Lahouar

ES Hammam-Sousse

LLDLD
1–3
FT

Stade Tunisien

LDWDL
ES Hammam-Sousse 29%Draw 27%Stade Tunisien 45% Expected goals 0.57 – 0.83
56%
Betarazi pick

Not both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.79 · bookmaker 1.44 · Lost ✗

4/10Rating
1.44Odds
1

Value bet: ES Hammam-Sousse to win @ 3.80 – our chance 29% vs 26% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultStade Tunisien to win ✓45% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.44
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗56% · @1.44
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗21% · fair 4.87

ES Hammam-Sousse vs Stade Tunisien: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Stade Tunisien travel to face ES Hammam-Sousse on Saturday 12 September in the Ligue 1, with Stade Municipal Bou Ali-Lahouar the venue – the ball rolls at 16:00 WAT. In the table, ES Hammam-Sousse are 16th, in the drop zone, on 1 points after 7 matches; Stade Tunisien are 3rd (among the top four) with 13. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

ES Hammam-Sousse, last 5: LLDLD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to ES Metlaoui, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Stade Tunisien, last 5: LDWDL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to US Monastirienne, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Momentum favours Stade Tunisien, collecting 1.0 points per game to 0.5 for ES Hammam-Sousse.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give ES Hammam-Sousse 0.6 xG, Stade Tunisien 0.8 xG – a total near 1.4. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 83% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – ES Hammam-Sousse 29%, draw 27%, Stade Tunisien 45%.
  • GG/NG: NG (56%) at 1.44.
  • Price worth noting: ES Hammam-Sousse to win @3.80 – the bookmaker implies 26%, our ratings say 29%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Not both teams to score (56%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: ES Hammam-Sousse 0–0 Stade Tunisien. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

ES Hammam-Sousse29%fair 3.47 · @3.80
Draw27%fair 3.77 · @2.60
Stade Tunisien45%fair 2.24 · @2.15
1.40Expected goals
0.57ES Hammam-Sousse xG
0.83Stade Tunisien xG
44%Both score
17%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–025%
0–121%
1–014%
1–112%
0–29%
1–25%

From our goals model: ES Hammam-Sousse 0.6 – 0.8 Stade Tunisien expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultStade Tunisien to win ✓45%2.242.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73%1.361.44 ▲
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗56%1.791.44
Draw no betStade Tunisien (draw no bet) ✓61%1.64–
Asian handicapES Hammam-Sousse +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗61%1.64–
Over/under 1.5 goalsUnder 1.5 goals ✗59%1.69–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗83%1.20–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗95%1.06–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓99%1.01–
First team to scoreStade Tunisien to score first45%2.23–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓59%1.69–
Half-time / full-timeHT Draw / FT Draw ✗31%3.21–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗21%4.87–

Recent results

ES Hammam-Sousse – last 6

LLDLDD
6 Sep@ ES Metlaoui0–1L
29 Aug@ Club Africain0–1L
22 Augvs US Monastirienne0–0D
29 Mayvs Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer2–3L
11 May@ CS Hammam-Lif1–1D
1 Mayvs Sfax Railways2–2D
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Stade Tunisien – last 6

LDWDLD
29 Aug@ US Monastirienne1–2L
22 Augvs CS Sfaxien1–1D
13 May@ AS Gabes1–0W
8 Mayvs US Ben Guerdane0–0D
29 Aprvs Jeunesse Sportive Omrane1–2L
8 Marvs ES Sahel1–1D
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between ES Hammam-Sousse and Stade Tunisien.

ES Hammam-Sousse vs Stade Tunisien head-to-head page →

Ligue 1 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1US Ben Guerdane7520+617
2ES Tunis7511+416
3Stade Tunisien7412+313
4Club Africain7412+213
5Monastir7331+212
6Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer7331+312
7CA Bizertin7322+111
8CS Sfaxien7241+210
9Jeunesse Sportive Omrane7241+110
10ES Sahel622208
11AS Marsa6132+16
12ES Metlaoui7205-56
13ES Zarzis7205-26
14CS Hammam-Lif7124-35
15Olympique Béja7034-53
16ES Hammam-Sousse7016-101

More Ligue 1 predictions

League hub
FT AS Marsa1 ES Sahel0 127%3.40X25%2.75248%2.20 1.0–1.4xG GGBoth teams to score 51%@2.10 ✗
FT US Monastirienne3 US Ben Guerdane3 163%1.70X25%3.00212%5.00 1.5–0.5xG 1US Monastirienne to win 63%@1.70 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for ES Hammam-Sousse vs Stade Tunisien?

Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.

Who will win ES Hammam-Sousse vs Stade Tunisien?

On our numbers ES Hammam-Sousse have a 29% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Stade Tunisien 45%.

How many goals will there be in ES Hammam-Sousse vs Stade Tunisien?

We expect about 1.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 17% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for ES Hammam-Sousse vs Stade Tunisien?

Our predicted score is ES Hammam-Sousse 0–0 Stade Tunisien, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.4 goals in total.

When is ES Hammam-Sousse vs Stade Tunisien?

ES Hammam-Sousse vs Stade Tunisien (Ligue 1) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Stade Municipal Bou Ali-Lahouar.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.