US Monastirienne 63%Draw 25%US Ben Guerdane 12%Expected goals 1.52 – 0.48
63%
Betarazi pick
US Monastirienne to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.70 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.70Odds
Picks by market
ResultUS Monastirienne to win ✗63% · @1.70
Double chanceUS Monastirienne or draw ✓88% · @1.14
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗55% · @1.55
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗68% · fair 1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗21% · fair 4.87
US Monastirienne vs US Ben Guerdane: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
16:00 WAT, Saturday 12 September: US Monastirienne v US Ben Guerdane in the Ligue 1, played at Stade Mustapha Ben Jannet.
Current form
US Monastirienne, last 5: WDWLW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Stade Tunisien, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 4 won, 1 lost from 5. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
US Ben Guerdane, last 5: WLDWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Olympique Béja, away. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give US Monastirienne 1.5 xG, US Ben Guerdane 0.5 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 68%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – US Monastirienne 63%, draw 25%, US Ben Guerdane 12%.
Lower-risk option: US Monastirienne or draw (88%) at 1.14.
GG/NG: NG (55%) at 1.55.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was US Monastirienne to win (63%, odds 1.70 – longer than our fair 1.58, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: US Monastirienne 1–0 US Ben Guerdane. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
US Monastirienne63%fair 1.58 · @1.70
Draw25%fair 4.01 · @3.00
US Ben Guerdane12%fair 8.42 · @5.00
2.00Expected goals
1.52US Monastirienne xG
0.48US Ben Guerdane xG
45%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–021%
2–016%
0–014%
1–110%
3–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: US Monastirienne 1.5 – 0.5 US Ben Guerdane expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
US Monastirienne to win✗
63%
1.58
1.70 ▲
Double chance
US Monastirienne or draw✓
88%
1.13
1.14
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
55%
1.81
1.55
Draw no bet
US Monastirienne (draw no bet)
84%
1.19
–
Asian handicap
US Monastirienne -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
59%
1.68
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
86%
1.17
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
95%
1.06
–
First team to score
US Monastirienne to score first
66%
1.53
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
48%
2.10
–
Half-time / full-time
HT US Monastirienne / FT US Monastirienne✗
38%
2.61
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
21%
4.87
–
Recent results
US Monastirienne – last 6
WDWLWW
29 Aug
vs Stade Tunisien
2–1
W
22 Aug
@ ES Hammam-Sousse
0–0
D
14 May
vs AS Soliman
3–0
W
4 May
vs ES Metlaoui
0–1
L
29 Apr
vs AS Gabes
2–0
W
22 Mar
vs Club Africain
1–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
US Ben Guerdane – last 6
WLDWWD
30 Aug
@ Olympique Béja
2–1
W
14 May
vs ES Tunis
0–1
L
8 May
@ Stade Tunisien
0–0
D
30 Apr
@ JS Kairouanaise
1–0
W
10 Apr
@ AS Gabes
1–0
W
5 Apr
vs ES Metlaoui
0–0
D
0.7Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between US Monastirienne and US Ben Guerdane.
What is the prediction for US Monastirienne vs US Ben Guerdane?
Our pick is US Monastirienne to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win US Monastirienne vs US Ben Guerdane?
On our numbers US Monastirienne have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 25% and US Ben Guerdane 12%.
How many goals will there be in US Monastirienne vs US Ben Guerdane?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for US Monastirienne vs US Ben Guerdane?
Our predicted score is US Monastirienne 1–0 US Ben Guerdane, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is US Monastirienne vs US Ben Guerdane?
US Monastirienne vs US Ben Guerdane (Ligue 1) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Stade Mustapha Ben Jannet.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
