Ilves 21%Draw 22%HNK Rijeka 57%Expected goals 0.66 – 1.39
80%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
Picks by market
ResultHNK Rijeka to win ✗57% · @1.75
Double chanceHNK Rijeka or draw ✓79% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @1.93
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.19
Ilves vs HNK Rijeka: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
HNK Rijeka travel to face Ilves on Thursday 13 August in the UEFA Europa Conference League, with Tammela Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 17:00 WAT.
Current form
Ilves, last 5: WLLWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Mariehamn, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
HNK Rijeka, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Ilves, at home. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours HNK Rijeka, collecting 3.0 points per game to 1.5 for Ilves.
Head to head
When they last met (6 Aug 2026) it ended HNK Rijeka 1–0 Ilves.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Ilves 0.7 xG, HNK Rijeka 1.4 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 61%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Ilves 21%, draw 22%, HNK Rijeka 57%.
Lower-risk option: HNK Rijeka or draw (79%) at 1.15.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.93.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (80%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ilves 0–1 HNK Rijeka. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Ilves21%fair 4.85 · @4.30
Draw22%fair 4.49 · @3.50
HNK Rijeka57%fair 1.75 · @1.75
2.05Expected goals
0.66Ilves xG
1.39HNK Rijeka xG
52%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–118%
0–013%
0–212%
1–112%
1–09%
1–28%
From our goals model: Ilves 0.7 – 1.4 HNK Rijeka expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Ilves vs HNK Rijeka?
On our numbers Ilves have a 21% chance of winning, the draw 22% and HNK Rijeka 57%.
How many goals will there be in Ilves vs HNK Rijeka?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ilves vs HNK Rijeka?
Our predicted score is Ilves 0–1 HNK Rijeka, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Ilves vs HNK Rijeka?
Ilves vs HNK Rijeka (UEFA Europa Conference League) kicks off on Thursday 13 August 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Tammela Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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