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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Rīgas FS v FK Jablonec: numbers & prediction

UEFA Europa Conference League · Europe · Lnk Sporta Parks
1–2
FT
Rīgas FS 49%Draw 21%FK Jablonec 29% Expected goals 1.56 – 1.12
74%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.36 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.25Odds

Picks by market

ResultRīgas FS to win ✗49% · @1.98
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.71

Rīgas FS vs FK Jablonec: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

17:30 WAT, Thursday 13 August: Rīgas FS v FK Jablonec in the UEFA Europa Conference League, played at Lnk Sporta Parks.

Current form

Rīgas FS, last 5: WLDWW Their latest outing: 6–1 win over Grobiņa, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately.

FK Jablonec, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Slovácko, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Head to head

When they last met (6 Aug 2026) it ended FK Jablonec 2–0 Rīgas FS.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Rīgas FS 1.6 xG, FK Jablonec 1.1 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 57%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Rīgas FS 49%, draw 21%, FK Jablonec 29%.
  • GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.83.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Rīgas FS 1–1 FK Jablonec. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Rīgas FS49%fair 2.02 · @1.98
Draw21%fair 4.69 · @3.45
FK Jablonec29%fair 3.42 · @3.40
2.67Expected goals
1.56Rīgas FS xG
1.12FK Jablonec xG
57%Both score
47%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–011%
2–19%
2–08%
0–18%
0–07%

From our goals model: Rīgas FS 1.6 – 1.1 FK Jablonec expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultRīgas FS to win ✗49%2.021.98
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79%1.271.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓57%1.761.83
Draw no betRīgas FS (draw no bet) ✗63%1.59–
Asian handicapFK Jablonec +1 (Asian handicap) ✓68%1.46–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓72%1.391.35
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗53%1.901.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74%1.361.25
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓87%1.15–
First team to scoreRīgas FS to score first54%1.84–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗42%2.37–
Half-time / full-timeHT Rīgas FS / FT Rīgas FS ✗28%3.51–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.71–

Recent results

Rīgas FS – last 6

WLDWWW
10 Augvs Grobiņa6–1W
6 Aug@ FK Jablonec0–2L
30 Jul@ Vestri1–1D
27 Jul@ Tukums1–0W
23 Julvs Vestri4–1W
20 Jul@ FS Jelgava1–0W
2.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

FK Jablonec – last 6

WWWWWL
9 Augvs Slovácko1–0W
6 Augvs Rīgas FS2–0W
2 Aug@ Pardubice2–0W
30 Julvs NK Varazdin2–0W
26 Julvs Sigma Olomouc2–1W
23 Jul@ NK Varazdin2–3L
1.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

6 Aug 2026FK Jablonec v Rīgas FS2–0
Rīgas FS vs FK Jablonec head-to-head page →

UEFA Europa Conference League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Lugano3300+79
2Panathinaikos3300+69
3Twente3300+69
4Monaco3300+69
5Brighton3210+57
6Brann3210+47
7FC Copenhagen3210+47
8Universitatea Craiova3210+47
9Mjallby AIF3210+47
10St. Truiden3210+37
11Ajax3201+66
12Trabzonspor3201+36
13HNK Hajduk Split3201+16
14SC Freiburg3201-16
15FK Crvena Zvezda311104
16Atalanta311104
17SC Braga3111-14
18Gent3111-14
19Riga303003
20FC Thun310203
21Borac Banja Luka3102-13
22Lincoln Red Imps FC3102-33
23FK Jablonec3021-12
24Aarhus3021-12
25FC Nordsjaelland3021-22
26Egnatia Rrogozhinë3021-22
27Kairat Almaty3021-42
28CSKA Sofia3012-21
29FC Iberia 19993012-31
30Pafos3012-41
31Getafe3012-41
32Heart Of Midlothian3012-41
33KuPS3012-41
34FC Midtjylland3012-61
35Inter Club d'Escaldes3003-50
36Kauno Žalgiris3003-100

More UEFA Europa Conference League predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Rīgas FS vs FK Jablonec?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Rīgas FS vs FK Jablonec?

On our numbers Rīgas FS have a 49% chance of winning, the draw 21% and FK Jablonec 29%.

How many goals will there be in Rīgas FS vs FK Jablonec?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Rīgas FS vs FK Jablonec?

Our predicted score is Rīgas FS 1–1 FK Jablonec, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Rīgas FS vs FK Jablonec?

Rīgas FS vs FK Jablonec (UEFA Europa Conference League) kicks off on Thursday 13 August 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Lnk Sporta Parks.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.