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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Qarabag v Dynamo Kyiv: numbers & prediction

UEFA Europa Conference League · Europe · Tofiq Bəhramov

Qarabag

LDDWW
2–0
FT

Dynamo Kyiv

WWLLD
Qarabag 64%Draw 21%Dynamo Kyiv 15% Expected goals 1.42 – 0.46
85%
Betarazi pick

Qarabag or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

10/10Rating
1.25Odds
1

Value bet: Qarabag to win @ 1.82 – our chance 64% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultQarabag to win ✓64% · @1.82
Double chanceQarabag or draw ✓85% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗22% · fair 4.59

Qarabag vs Dynamo Kyiv: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Thursday 13 August the UEFA Europa Conference League brings Qarabag against Dynamo Kyiv at Tofiq Bəhramov. Kick-off: 17:00 WAT.

Current form

Qarabag, last 5: LDDWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Dynamo Kyiv, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Dynamo Kyiv, last 5: WWLLD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Veres Rivne, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (6 Aug 2026) it ended Dynamo Kyiv 1–0 Qarabag.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Qarabag 1.4 xG, Dynamo Kyiv 0.5 xG – a total near 1.9. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 60%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Qarabag 64%, draw 21%, Dynamo Kyiv 15%.
  • Lower-risk option: Qarabag or draw (85%) at 1.25.
  • GG/NG: NG (52%) at 1.95.
  • Price worth noting: Qarabag to win @1.82 – the bookmaker implies 55%, our ratings say 64%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Qarabag or draw (85%, odds 1.25 – longer than our fair 1.17, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Qarabag 1–0 Dynamo Kyiv. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Qarabag64%fair 1.56 · @1.82
Draw21%fair 4.67 · @3.60
Dynamo Kyiv15%fair 6.85 · @3.85
1.87Expected goals
1.42Qarabag xG
0.46Dynamo Kyiv xG
48%Both score
40%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–022%
2–015%
0–015%
1–110%
3–07%
2–17%

From our goals model: Qarabag 1.4 – 0.5 Dynamo Kyiv expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultQarabag to win ✓64%1.561.82 ▲
Double chanceQarabag or draw ✓85%1.171.25 ▲
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓52%1.941.95
Draw no betQarabag (draw no bet) ✓81%1.23–
Asian handicapQarabag -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓61%1.63–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓65%1.531.25
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓60%1.681.93 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78%1.271.35 ▲
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓96%1.04–
First team to scoreQarabag to score first ✓64%1.56–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗50%2.02–
Half-time / full-timeHT Qarabag / FT Qarabag ✓37%2.72–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗22%4.59–

Recent results

Qarabag – last 6

LDDWWL
6 Aug@ Dynamo Kyiv0–1L
30 Jul@ CSKA Sofia0–0D
23 Julvs CSKA Sofia0–0D
16 Jul@ Vestri3–0W
9 Julvs Vestri3–0W
1 Jul@ Ferencvarosi TC0–1L
1.0Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
0%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Dynamo Kyiv – last 6

WWLLDW
9 Aug@ Veres Rivne2–1W
6 Augvs Qarabag1–0W
30 Jul@ PAOK0–2L
23 Julvs PAOK2–3L
16 Jul@ Universitatea Cluj0–0D
10 Jul@ Radomiak Radom4–2W
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

6 Aug 2026Dynamo Kyiv v Qarabag1–0
Qarabag vs Dynamo Kyiv head-to-head page →

More UEFA Europa Conference League predictions

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FT Dinamo Minsk0 SC Braga0 111%7.75X20%4.45269%1.36 0.6–1.9xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 71%@1.42 ✓
FT Dunajska Streda3 Twente3 113%5.60X18%4.30269%1.48 1.0–2.5xG 2Twente to win 69%@1.48 ✗
FT Hammarby FF0 Raków Częstochowa1 164%1.71X21%3.60215%4.35 1.7–0.7xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 73%@1.36 ✓
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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Qarabag vs Dynamo Kyiv?

Our pick is Qarabag or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Qarabag vs Dynamo Kyiv?

On our numbers Qarabag have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Dynamo Kyiv 15%.

How many goals will there be in Qarabag vs Dynamo Kyiv?

We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Qarabag vs Dynamo Kyiv?

Our predicted score is Qarabag 1–0 Dynamo Kyiv, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.

When is Qarabag vs Dynamo Kyiv?

Qarabag vs Dynamo Kyiv (UEFA Europa Conference League) kicks off on Thursday 13 August 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Tofiq Bəhramov.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.