Everton W 60%Draw 24%Birmingham City W 16%Expected goals 1.80 – 0.83
84%
Betarazi pick
Everton W or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.20 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Everton W to win @ 1.80 – our chance 60% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultEverton W to win ✓60% · @1.80
Double chanceEverton W or draw ✓84% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.32
Everton W vs Birmingham City W: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 4 October the FA WSL brings Everton W against Birmingham City W at Rossett Park. Kick-off: 14:00 WAT. In the table, Everton W are 8th, lower half, on 11 points after 9 matches; Birmingham City W are 13th (in the drop zone) with 6.
Current form
Everton W, last 5: LWWWL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Liverpool W, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Birmingham City W, last 5: LDLLD Their latest outing: 3–4 defeat to Liverpool W, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Everton W, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.3 for Birmingham City W.
Head to head
When they last met (23 Sep 2026) it ended Everton W 2–0 Birmingham City W.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Everton W 1.8 xG, Birmingham City W 0.8 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Everton W 60%, draw 24%, Birmingham City W 16%.
Lower-risk option: Everton W or draw (84%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.65.
Price worth noting: Everton W to win @1.80 – the bookmaker implies 56%, our ratings say 60%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Everton W or draw (84%, odds 1.25 – longer than our fair 1.20, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Everton W 1–0 Birmingham City W. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Everton W60%fair 1.66 · @1.80
Draw24%fair 4.25 · @3.50
Birmingham City W16%fair 6.11 · @3.50
2.63Expected goals
1.80Everton W xG
0.83Birmingham City W xG
59%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
2–012%
1–111%
2–110%
0–07%
3–07%
From our goals model: Everton W 1.8 – 0.8 Birmingham City W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Everton W vs Birmingham City W?
Our pick is Everton W or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Everton W vs Birmingham City W?
On our numbers Everton W have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Birmingham City W 16%.
How many goals will there be in Everton W vs Birmingham City W?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Everton W vs Birmingham City W?
Our predicted score is Everton W 1–0 Birmingham City W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Everton W vs Birmingham City W?
Everton W vs Birmingham City W (FA WSL) kicks off on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Rossett Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
