Manchester City W vs Arsenal W: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 4 October the FA WSL brings Manchester City W against Arsenal W at Manchester Regional Arena. Kick-off: 16:30 WAT. In the table, Manchester City W are 1st, leading the league, on 25 points after 9 matches; Arsenal W are 6th (upper half) with 13. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Manchester City W, last 5: DWDWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Real Madrid W, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.5 goals per game.
Arsenal W, last 5: DLWDD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Paris FC W, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Manchester City W, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.5 for Arsenal W.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Manchester City W 1.3 xG, Arsenal W 1.2 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Manchester City W 43%, draw 23%, Arsenal W 35%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.62.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (57%, odds 1.62). Most likely score in line with that pick: Manchester City W 1–1 Arsenal W. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Manchester City W43%fair 2.35 · @2.40
Draw23%fair 4.38 · @3.10
Arsenal W35%fair 2.89 · @2.62
2.50Expected goals
1.33Manchester City W xG
1.17Arsenal W xG
57%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
2–19%
0–08%
1–27%
From our goals model: Manchester City W 1.3 – 1.2 Arsenal W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Manchester City W to win✓
43%
2.35
2.40
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.76
1.62
Draw no bet
Manchester City W (draw no bet)✓
55%
1.81
–
Asian handicap
Arsenal W +1 (Asian handicap)✗
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.84
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
89%
1.12
–
First team to score
Manchester City W to score first
49%
2.04
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Manchester City W / FT Manchester City W✗
24%
4.25
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.74
–
Recent results
Manchester City W – last 6
DWDWWW
1 Oct
vs Real Madrid W
1–1
D
26 Sep
@ Charlton Athletic W
1–0
W
22 Sep
@ Bayern Munich W
2–2
D
18 Sep
vs Liverpool W
4–2
W
13 Sep
@ Aston Villa W
4–1
W
6 Sep
vs Birmingham City W
3–1
W
2.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Arsenal W – last 6
DLWDDW
30 Sep
@ Paris FC W
2–2
D
27 Sep
@ Chelsea W
0–1
L
22 Sep
vs Køge W
1–0
W
19 Sep
vs Manchester United W
1–1
D
13 Sep
vs Crystal Palace W
0–0
D
6 Sep
@ Brighton W
1–0
W
0.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Manchester City W and Arsenal W.
What is the prediction for Manchester City W vs Arsenal W?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Manchester City W vs Arsenal W?
On our numbers Manchester City W have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Arsenal W 35%.
How many goals will there be in Manchester City W vs Arsenal W?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Manchester City W vs Arsenal W?
Our predicted score is Manchester City W 1–1 Arsenal W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Manchester City W vs Arsenal W?
Manchester City W vs Arsenal W (FA WSL) kicks off on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Manchester Regional Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
