Value bet: Alcione to win @ 2.80 – our chance 42% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultAlcione to win ✓42% · @2.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @2.05
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.17
Folgore Caratese vs Alcione: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Folgore Caratese welcome Alcione to AlbinoLeffe for a Serie C Girone A fixture on Sunday 13 September (17:00 WAT). In the table, Folgore Caratese are 20th, in the drop zone, on 8 points after 13 matches; Alcione are 8th (upper half) with 18.
Current form
Folgore Caratese, last 5: LDLDD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to PRO Vercelli, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Alcione, last 5: DDWLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Treviso, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Folgore Caratese 1.1 xG, Alcione 1.3 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 51%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Folgore Caratese 33%, draw 25%, Alcione 42%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.05.
Price worth noting: Alcione to win @2.80 – the bookmaker implies 36%, our ratings say 42%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (51%, odds 2.05 – longer than our fair 1.96, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Folgore Caratese 1–1 Alcione. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Folgore Caratese33%fair 3.00 · @2.45
Draw25%fair 4.01 · @2.75
Alcione42%fair 2.40 · @2.80
2.33Expected goals
1.08Folgore Caratese xG
1.25Alcione xG
51%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–112%
1–011%
0–010%
1–28%
0–28%
From our goals model: Folgore Caratese 1.1 – 1.3 Alcione expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Alcione to win✓
42%
2.40
2.80 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.96
2.05
Draw no bet
Alcione (draw no bet)✓
56%
1.80
–
Asian handicap
Folgore Caratese +1 (Asian handicap)
77%
1.30
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
59%
1.70
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
79%
1.26
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
91%
1.10
–
First team to score
Alcione to score first✓
48%
2.06
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.18
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Alcione / FT Alcione✓
23%
4.33
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.17
–
Recent results
Folgore Caratese – last 6
LDLDDD
7 Sep
@ PRO Vercelli
0–1
L
31 Aug
@ Novara
2–2
D
24 Aug
vs Dolomiti Bellunesi
1–2
L
16 Aug
@ Giana Erminio
1–1
D
31 Jul
@ Sassuolo
0–0
D
25 Jul
@ Arezzo
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Alcione – last 6
DDWLLL
7 Sep
vs Treviso
1–1
D
30 Aug
@ Dolomiti Bellunesi
0–0
D
21 Aug
vs Renate
3–1
W
16 Aug
vs Novara
0–1
L
30 Jul
@ Mantova
2–6
L
22 Jul
@ Torino
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Folgore Caratese and Alcione.
What is the prediction for Folgore Caratese vs Alcione?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.05.
Who will win Folgore Caratese vs Alcione?
On our numbers Folgore Caratese have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Alcione 42%.
How many goals will there be in Folgore Caratese vs Alcione?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Folgore Caratese vs Alcione?
Our predicted score is Folgore Caratese 1–1 Alcione, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Folgore Caratese vs Alcione?
Folgore Caratese vs Alcione (Serie C Girone A) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at AlbinoLeffe.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
