Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓72% · fair 1.38
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18% · fair 5.65
Novara vs Pergolettese: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Pergolettese travel to face Novara on Sunday 13 September in the Serie C Girone A, with Stadio Silvio Piola the venue – the ball rolls at 20:00 WAT. In the table, Novara are 14th, lower half, on 13 points after 13 matches; Pergolettese are 10th (upper half) with 17.
Current form
Novara, last 5: WDDLW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Renate, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Pergolettese, last 5: DLLDD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Juventus U23, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.2 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Novara, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.7 for Pergolettese.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Novara 1.1 xG, Pergolettese 0.7 xG – a total near 1.8. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 72%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Novara 48%, draw 25%, Pergolettese 28%.
GG/NG: NG (52%) at 1.75.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Not both teams to score (52%, odds 1.75). Most likely score in line with that pick: Novara 1–0 Pergolettese. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Novara48%fair 2.09 · @2.05
Draw25%fair 4.07 · @2.80
Pergolettese28%fair 3.63 · @3.40
1.83Expected goals
1.10Novara xG
0.73Pergolettese xG
48%Both score
28%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–018%
0–016%
1–113%
0–112%
2–010%
2–17%
From our goals model: Novara 1.1 – 0.7 Pergolettese expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Novara to win✗
48%
2.09
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.36
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
52%
1.92
1.75
Draw no bet
Novara (draw no bet)✗
63%
1.58
–
Asian handicap
Pergolettese +1 (Asian handicap)✓
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
55%
1.83
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
89%
1.13
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
96%
1.04
–
First team to score
Novara to score first✗
51%
1.98
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
52%
1.93
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Novara / FT Novara✗
25%
4.00
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
18%
5.65
–
Recent results
Novara – last 6
WDDLWL
7 Sep
@ Renate
2–1
W
3 Sep
vs Livorno
0–0
D
31 Aug
vs Folgore Caratese
2–2
D
22 Aug
@ Juventus U23
0–1
L
16 Aug
@ Alcione
1–0
W
5 Aug
@ Virtus Entella
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Pergolettese – last 6
DLLDDD
6 Sep
@ Juventus U23
0–0
D
30 Aug
vs Union Brescia
0–1
L
22 Aug
@ Cittadella
0–2
L
14 Aug
@ PRO Vercelli
1–1
D
9 Aug
vs Inter U23
0–0
D
19 Apr
@ Vicenza Virtus
0–0
D
0.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Novara and Pergolettese.
What is the prediction for Novara vs Pergolettese?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Novara vs Pergolettese?
On our numbers Novara have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Pergolettese 28%.
How many goals will there be in Novara vs Pergolettese?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 28% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Novara vs Pergolettese?
Our predicted score is Novara 1–0 Pergolettese, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Novara vs Pergolettese?
Novara vs Pergolettese (Serie C Girone A) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Silvio Piola.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
