Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Lecco to win @ 1.95 – our chance 57% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultLecco to win ✓57% · @1.95
Double chanceLecco or draw ✓79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓57% · @1.62
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓24% · fair 4.22
Lecco vs Giana Erminio: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Giana Erminio travel to face Lecco on Sunday 13 September in the Serie C Girone A, with Stadio Rigamonti Ceppi the venue – the ball rolls at 14:00 WAT. In the table, Lecco are 7th, upper half, on 20 points after 13 matches; Giana Erminio are 16th (lower half) with 12.
Current form
Lecco, last 5: LLDDL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Trento, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.
Giana Erminio, last 5: LLLLD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Dolomiti Bellunesi, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Head to head
When they last met (6 May 2026) it ended Lecco 2–1 Giana Erminio.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Lecco 1.1 xG, Giana Erminio 0.4 xG – a total near 1.5. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 81% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Lecco 57%, draw 22%, Giana Erminio 21%.
Lower-risk option: Lecco or draw (79%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: NG (57%) at 1.62.
Price worth noting: Lecco to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 57%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Lecco or draw (79%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lecco 1–0 Giana Erminio. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Lecco57%fair 1.77 · @1.95
Draw22%fair 4.45 · @2.90
Giana Erminio21%fair 4.78 · @3.60
1.50Expected goals
1.06Lecco xG
0.44Giana Erminio xG
43%Both score
19%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–024%
0–022%
2–013%
1–110%
0–110%
2–16%
From our goals model: Lecco 1.1 – 0.4 Giana Erminio expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Lecco vs Giana Erminio?
Our pick is Lecco or draw with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Lecco vs Giana Erminio?
On our numbers Lecco have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Giana Erminio 21%.
How many goals will there be in Lecco vs Giana Erminio?
We expect about 1.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 19% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lecco vs Giana Erminio?
Our predicted score is Lecco 1–0 Giana Erminio, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.5 goals in total.
When is Lecco vs Giana Erminio?
Lecco vs Giana Erminio (Serie C Girone A) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Rigamonti Ceppi.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
