Value bet: Dolomiti Bellunesi to win @ 3.25 – our chance 33% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultDesenzano Calvina to win ✓43% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗6% · fair 16.36
Desenzano Calvina vs Dolomiti Bellunesi: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 10 October the Serie C Girone A brings Desenzano Calvina against Dolomiti Bellunesi at Stadio Comunale Gino Corioni. Kick-off: 16:30 WAT. In the table, Desenzano Calvina are 13th, lower half, on 13 points after 13 matches; Dolomiti Bellunesi are 19th (in the drop zone) with 10. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Desenzano Calvina, last 5: WDDLW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Folgore Caratese, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Dolomiti Bellunesi, last 5: LDLDD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Novara, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Desenzano Calvina 0.9 xG, Dolomiti Bellunesi 0.8 xG – a total near 1.7. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 76%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Desenzano Calvina 43%, draw 24%, Dolomiti Bellunesi 33%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.91.
Price worth noting: Dolomiti Bellunesi to win @3.25 – the bookmaker implies 31%, our ratings say 33%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (51%, odds 1.91). Most likely score in line with that pick: Desenzano Calvina 1–1 Dolomiti Bellunesi. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Desenzano Calvina43%fair 2.32 · @2.10
Draw24%fair 4.13 · @2.90
Dolomiti Bellunesi33%fair 3.07 · @3.25
1.69Expected goals
0.94Desenzano Calvina xG
0.75Dolomiti Bellunesi xG
51%Both score
24%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–018%
1–017%
0–114%
1–113%
2–08%
2–16%
From our goals model: Desenzano Calvina 0.9 – 0.8 Dolomiti Bellunesi expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Desenzano Calvina to win✓
43%
2.32
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.35
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.96
1.91
Draw no bet
Desenzano Calvina (draw no bet)✓
57%
1.76
–
Asian handicap
Dolomiti Bellunesi +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
50%
1.99
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
97%
1.03
–
First team to score
Desenzano Calvina to score first✓
45%
2.21
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
54%
1.84
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
26%
3.85
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
6%
16.36
–
Recent results
Desenzano Calvina – last 6
WDDLWL
3 Oct
@ Folgore Caratese
2–1
W
26 Sep
vs Juventus U23
0–0
D
21 Sep
@ Treviso
0–0
D
17 Sep
vs Lecco
1–3
L
13 Sep
@ Arzignano Valchiampo
2–1
W
6 Sep
@ Union Brescia
0–1
L
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Dolomiti Bellunesi – last 6
LDLDDW
4 Oct
vs Novara
1–2
L
27 Sep
@ Union Brescia
1–1
D
21 Sep
vs Lumezzane
1–2
L
17 Sep
@ Renate
0–0
D
13 Sep
vs Albinoleffe
0–0
D
6 Sep
@ Giana Erminio
2–1
W
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Desenzano Calvina and Dolomiti Bellunesi.
What is the prediction for Desenzano Calvina vs Dolomiti Bellunesi?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.
Who will win Desenzano Calvina vs Dolomiti Bellunesi?
On our numbers Desenzano Calvina have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Dolomiti Bellunesi 33%.
How many goals will there be in Desenzano Calvina vs Dolomiti Bellunesi?
We expect about 1.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 24% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Desenzano Calvina vs Dolomiti Bellunesi?
Our predicted score is Desenzano Calvina 1–1 Dolomiti Bellunesi, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.7 goals in total.
When is Desenzano Calvina vs Dolomiti Bellunesi?
Desenzano Calvina vs Dolomiti Bellunesi (Serie C Girone A) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Comunale Gino Corioni.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
