Pergolettese v Athletic Carpi Prediction & Expected Goals (10 Oct) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultPergolettese to win ✓47% · @2.15

Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.36

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @1.85

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓8% · fair 11.97

Pergolettese vs Athletic Carpi: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Athletic Carpi travel to face Pergolettese on Saturday 10 October in the Serie C Girone A, with Giuseppe Voltini the venue – the ball rolls at 13:30 WAT. In the table, Pergolettese are 10th, upper half, on 17 points after 13 matches; Athletic Carpi are 15th (lower half) with 13.

Current form

Pergolettese, last 5: DDDDW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Arzignano Valchiampo, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.

Athletic Carpi, last 5: LLDDL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to PRO Vercelli, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Pergolettese 1.3 xG, Athletic Carpi 0.9 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 63%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Pergolettese 47%, draw 25%, Athletic Carpi 28%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.85.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (52%, odds 1.85). Most likely score in line with that pick: Pergolettese 1–1 Athletic Carpi. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Pergolettese47%fair 2.12 · @2.15

Draw25%fair 4.05 · @2.80

Athletic Carpi28%fair 3.55 · @3.25

2.19Expected goals

1.28Pergolettese xG

0.91Athletic Carpi xG

52%Both score

37%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–014%

1–113%

0–011%

0–110%

2–09%

2–18%

From our goals model: Pergolettese 1.3 – 0.9 Athletic Carpi expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Pergolettese to win ✓	47%	2.12	2.15
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	75%	1.33	1.36
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	52%	1.92	1.85
Draw no bet	Pergolettese (draw no bet) ✓	63%	1.60	–
Asian handicap	Athletic Carpi +1 (Asian handicap)	73%	1.38	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	64%	1.56	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✗	63%	1.60	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	82%	1.22	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	93%	1.08	–
First team to score	Pergolettese to score first ✓	52%	1.92	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	47%	2.12	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Pergolettese / FT Pergolettese ✓	26%	3.82	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✓	8%	11.97	–

Pergolettese – last 6

DDDDWD

3 Oct	@ Arzignano Valchiampo	2–2	D
26 Sep	vs Trento	0–0	D
20 Sep	@ Lecco	0–0	D
17 Sep	vs Folgore Caratese	0–0	D
13 Sep	@ Novara	1–0	W
6 Sep	@ Juventus U23	0–0	D

0.5Scored / game

0.3Conceded / game

17%Both scored

17%Over 2.5

Athletic Carpi – last 6

LLDDLW

3 Oct	@ PRO Vercelli	0–2	L
27 Sep	vs Arzignano Valchiampo	0–3	L
20 Sep	@ Novara	2–2	D
17 Sep	vs Ospitaletto	2–2	D
13 Sep	vs Cittadella	1–2	L
6 Sep	@ Albinoleffe	1–0	W

1.0Scored / game

1.8Conceded / game

50%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Cittadella	13	10	1	2	+13	31
2	Union Brescia	13	8	4	1	+15	28
3	Trento	13	7	6	0	+12	27
4	Ospitaletto	13	6	4	3	+8	22
5	Treviso	13	6	4	3	+5	22
6	Arzignano Valchiampo	13	6	3	4	+4	21
7	Lecco	13	5	5	3	+11	20
8	Alcione	13	4	6	3	+2	18
9	Albinoleffe	13	4	5	4	+1	17
10	Pergolettese	13	4	5	4	-1	17
11	Lumezzane	13	4	4	5	-3	16
12	PRO Vercelli	13	4	4	5	-7	16
13	Desenzano Calvina	13	3	4	6	-5	13
14	Novara	13	3	4	6	-7	13
15	Athletic Carpi	13	3	4	6	-10	13
16	Giana Erminio	13	2	6	5	-4	12
17	Renate	13	2	5	6	-1	11
18	Juventus U23	13	2	5	6	-11	11
19	Dolomiti Bellunesi	13	2	4	7	-12	10
20	Folgore Caratese	13	1	5	7	-10	8

Team

Pts

+13

+15

+12

+11

-1

-3

-7

-5

-7

-10

-4

-1

-11

-12

-10

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Pergolettese vs Athletic Carpi?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.

Who will win Pergolettese vs Athletic Carpi?

On our numbers Pergolettese have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Athletic Carpi 28%.

How many goals will there be in Pergolettese vs Athletic Carpi?

We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Pergolettese vs Athletic Carpi?

Our predicted score is Pergolettese 1–1 Athletic Carpi, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.

When is Pergolettese vs Athletic Carpi?

Pergolettese vs Athletic Carpi (Serie C Girone A) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time) at Giuseppe Voltini.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Pergolettese v Athletic Carpi: numbers & prediction