Novara v Cittadella Prediction & Expected Goals (10 Oct) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultCittadella to win ✓45% · @2.30

Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.36

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.75

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.03

Novara vs Cittadella: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Novara welcome Cittadella to Stadio Silvio Piola for a Serie C Girone A fixture on Saturday 10 October (16:30 WAT). In the table, Novara are 14th, lower half, on 13 points after 13 matches; Cittadella are 1st (leading the league) with 31. There are 18 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Novara, last 5: WLDDL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Dolomiti Bellunesi, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Cittadella, last 5: LWWWW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Albinoleffe, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Cittadella, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.3 for Novara.

Head to head

When they last met (19 Apr 2026) it ended Novara 0–1 Cittadella.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Novara 1.0 xG, Cittadella 1.3 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 39%, GG 55%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Novara 31%, draw 24%, Cittadella 45%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.75.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (55%, odds 1.75). Most likely score in line with that pick: Novara 1–1 Cittadella. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Novara31%fair 3.24 · @2.90

Draw24%fair 4.11 · @2.88

Cittadella45%fair 2.23 · @2.30

2.25Expected goals

0.98Novara xG

1.27Cittadella xG

55%Both score

39%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–113%

1–113%

0–011%

1–010%

0–28%

1–28%

From our goals model: Novara 1.0 – 1.3 Cittadella expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Cittadella to win ✓	45%	2.23	2.30
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	76%	1.32	1.36
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	55%	1.82	1.75
Draw no bet	Cittadella (draw no bet) ✓	59%	1.69	–
Asian handicap	Novara +1 (Asian handicap) ✗	75%	1.34	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	66%	1.52	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✓	61%	1.64	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	81%	1.24	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	92%	1.08	–
First team to score	Cittadella to score first ✓	50%	1.99	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	47%	2.14	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Cittadella / FT Cittadella ✓	25%	4.05	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–2 ✗	8%	12.03	–

Novara – last 6

WLDDLW

4 Oct	@ Dolomiti Bellunesi	2–1	W
26 Sep	vs Ospitaletto	0–2	L
20 Sep	vs Athletic Carpi	2–2	D
17 Sep	@ Lumezzane	0–0	D
13 Sep	vs Pergolettese	0–1	L
7 Sep	@ Renate	2–1	W

1.0Scored / game

1.2Conceded / game

50%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

Cittadella – last 6

LWWWWW

3 Oct	vs Albinoleffe	1–2	L
26 Sep	vs Lecco	3–0	W
20 Sep	@ Ospitaletto	1–0	W
17 Sep	vs Juventus U23	2–0	W
13 Sep	@ Athletic Carpi	2–1	W
6 Sep	vs Lumezzane	2–1	W

1.8Scored / game

0.7Conceded / game

50%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Cittadella	13	10	1	2	+13	31
2	Union Brescia	13	8	4	1	+15	28
3	Trento	13	7	6	0	+12	27
4	Ospitaletto	13	6	4	3	+8	22
5	Treviso	13	6	4	3	+5	22
6	Arzignano Valchiampo	13	6	3	4	+4	21
7	Lecco	13	5	5	3	+11	20
8	Alcione	13	4	6	3	+2	18
9	Albinoleffe	13	4	5	4	+1	17
10	Pergolettese	13	4	5	4	-1	17
11	Lumezzane	13	4	4	5	-3	16
12	PRO Vercelli	13	4	4	5	-7	16
13	Desenzano Calvina	13	3	4	6	-5	13
14	Novara	13	3	4	6	-7	13
15	Athletic Carpi	13	3	4	6	-10	13
16	Giana Erminio	13	2	6	5	-4	12
17	Renate	13	2	5	6	-1	11
18	Juventus U23	13	2	5	6	-11	11
19	Dolomiti Bellunesi	13	2	4	7	-12	10
20	Folgore Caratese	13	1	5	7	-10	8

Team

Pts

+13

+15

+12

+11

-1

-3

-7

-5

-7

-10

-4

-1

-11

-12

-10

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Novara vs Cittadella?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.

Who will win Novara vs Cittadella?

On our numbers Novara have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Cittadella 45%.

How many goals will there be in Novara vs Cittadella?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Novara vs Cittadella?

Our predicted score is Novara 1–1 Cittadella, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Novara vs Cittadella?

Novara vs Cittadella (Serie C Girone A) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Silvio Piola.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Novara v Cittadella: numbers & prediction

Novara

Cittadella

Both teams to score

Picks by market

Novara vs Cittadella: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Current form

Head to head

Where the goals come from

Markets worth a look

Our call before kick-off

Result chances

Score grid: top six

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Recent results

Novara – last 6

Cittadella – last 6

Head to head

Serie C Girone A table

More Serie C Girone A predictions

Frequently asked questions