Albinoleffe vs Novara: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Albinoleffe welcome Novara to AlbinoLeffe for a Serie C Girone A fixture on Sunday 18 October (16:30 WAT). In the table, Albinoleffe are 9th, upper half, on 17 points after 13 matches; Novara are 14th (lower half) with 13.
Current form
Albinoleffe, last 5: LWDWL Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Lumezzane, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Novara, last 5: LWLDD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Cittadella, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Albinoleffe 1.4 xG, Novara 1.3 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Albinoleffe 41%, draw 23%, Novara 36%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (57%, odds 1.85 – longer than our fair 1.76, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Albinoleffe 1–1 Novara. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Albinoleffe41%fair 2.46 · @2.25
Draw23%fair 4.33 · @3.00
Novara36%fair 2.77 · @2.80
2.61Expected goals
1.35Albinoleffe xG
1.26Novara xG
57%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–010%
0–19%
2–18%
1–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: Albinoleffe 1.4 – 1.3 Novara expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Albinoleffe to win✗
41%
2.46
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.30
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.76
1.85 ▲
Draw no bet
Albinoleffe (draw no bet)
53%
1.89
–
Asian handicap
Novara +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.36
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.94
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
73%
1.36
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
First team to score
Albinoleffe to score first✗
48%
2.08
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Albinoleffe / FT Albinoleffe✗
23%
4.41
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
11.81
–
Recent results
Albinoleffe – last 6
LWDWLD
10 Oct
@ Lumezzane
2–3
L
3 Oct
@ Cittadella
2–1
W
27 Sep
vs Alcione
1–1
D
20 Sep
@ Juventus U23
5–3
W
17 Sep
vs Arzignano Valchiampo
1–2
L
13 Sep
@ Dolomiti Bellunesi
0–0
D
1.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Novara – last 6
LWLDDL
10 Oct
vs Cittadella
0–2
L
4 Oct
@ Dolomiti Bellunesi
2–1
W
26 Sep
vs Ospitaletto
0–2
L
20 Sep
vs Athletic Carpi
2–2
D
17 Sep
@ Lumezzane
0–0
D
13 Sep
vs Pergolettese
0–1
L
0.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Albinoleffe and Novara.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Albinoleffe vs Novara?
On our numbers Albinoleffe have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Novara 36%.
How many goals will there be in Albinoleffe vs Novara?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Albinoleffe vs Novara?
Our predicted score is Albinoleffe 1–1 Novara, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Albinoleffe vs Novara?
Albinoleffe vs Novara (Serie C Girone A) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at AlbinoLeffe.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
