Value bet: Athletic Carpi to win @ 3.00 – our chance 39% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultAthletic Carpi to win ✗39% · @3.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.91
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗73% · @1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.93
Folgore Caratese vs Athletic Carpi: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Folgore Caratese welcome Athletic Carpi for a Serie C Girone A fixture on Sunday 8 November (17:30 WAT). In the table, Folgore Caratese are 20th, in the drop zone, on 8 points after 13 matches; Athletic Carpi are 15th (lower half) with 13.
Current form
Folgore Caratese, last 5: LDLLL Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to Union Brescia, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Athletic Carpi, last 5: LDWWL Their latest outing: 0–5 defeat to Renate, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Athletic Carpi, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.7 for Folgore Caratese.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Folgore Caratese 1.4 xG, Athletic Carpi 1.4 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 60%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Folgore Caratese 38%, draw 22%, Athletic Carpi 39%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.91.
Price worth noting: Athletic Carpi to win @3.00 – the bookmaker implies 33%, our ratings say 39%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (73%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Folgore Caratese 1–1 Athletic Carpi. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Folgore Caratese38%fair 2.61 · @2.10
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @3.20
Athletic Carpi39%fair 2.55 · @3.00
2.77Expected goals
1.38Folgore Caratese xG
1.40Athletic Carpi xG
60%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–19%
1–09%
1–28%
2–18%
0–06%
From our goals model: Folgore Caratese 1.4 – 1.4 Athletic Carpi expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Athletic Carpi to win✗
39%
2.55
3.00 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.29
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
60%
1.68
1.91 ▲
Draw no bet
Athletic Carpi (draw no bet)
51%
1.98
–
Asian handicap
Folgore Caratese +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
73%
1.38
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.94
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
1.08
First team to score
Athletic Carpi to score first✗
47%
2.12
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.41
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Athletic Carpi / FT Athletic Carpi✗
22%
4.56
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
11.93
–
Recent results
Folgore Caratese – last 6
LDLLLW
1 Nov
vs Union Brescia
0–4
L
25 Oct
@ Lecco
2–2
D
17 Oct
vs Treviso
0–2
L
11 Oct
@ Trento
0–1
L
3 Oct
vs Desenzano Calvina
1–2
L
26 Sep
@ Lumezzane
2–1
W
0.8Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Athletic Carpi – last 6
LDWWLL
1 Nov
vs Renate
0–5
L
28 Oct
vs Ravenna
3–3
D
24 Oct
@ Alcione
2–1
W
17 Oct
vs Lumezzane
3–1
W
10 Oct
@ Pergolettese
1–2
L
3 Oct
@ PRO Vercelli
0–2
L
1.5Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Folgore Caratese and Athletic Carpi.
What is the prediction for Folgore Caratese vs Athletic Carpi?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Folgore Caratese vs Athletic Carpi?
On our numbers Folgore Caratese have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Athletic Carpi 39%.
How many goals will there be in Folgore Caratese vs Athletic Carpi?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Folgore Caratese vs Athletic Carpi?
Our predicted score is Folgore Caratese 1–1 Athletic Carpi, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Folgore Caratese vs Athletic Carpi?
Folgore Caratese vs Athletic Carpi (Serie C Girone A) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
