Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 54% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultTreviso to win ✓60% · @1.67
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.27
Treviso vs Novara: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Novara travel to face Treviso on Sunday 8 November in the Serie C Girone A – the ball rolls at 17:30 WAT. In the table, Treviso are 5th, upper half, on 22 points after 13 matches; Novara are 14th (lower half) with 13.
Current form
Treviso, last 5: LWWLD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Cittadella, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Novara, last 5: WLDLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Desenzano Calvina, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Treviso, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.2 for Novara.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Treviso 1.5 xG, Novara 0.7 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 54%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Treviso 60%, draw 20%, Novara 21%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 2.00.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.00 – the bookmaker implies 50%, our ratings say 54%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (78%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Treviso 1–0 Novara. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Treviso60%fair 1.68 · @1.67
Draw20%fair 5.03 · @3.50
Novara21%fair 4.86 · @4.50
2.25Expected goals
1.53Treviso xG
0.72Novara xG
54%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–016%
2–012%
1–112%
0–011%
2–19%
0–18%
From our goals model: Treviso 1.5 – 0.7 Novara expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Treviso to win✓
60%
1.68
1.67
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.25
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.86
2.00 ▲
Draw no bet
Treviso (draw no bet)✓
74%
1.35
–
Asian handicap
Novara +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
70%
1.42
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.46
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.73
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
1.08
First team to score
Treviso to score first✓
61%
1.65
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.19
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Treviso / FT Treviso✓
34%
2.92
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.27
–
Recent results
Treviso – last 6
LWWLDW
1 Nov
@ Cittadella
0–1
L
24 Oct
vs Dolomiti Bellunesi
2–1
W
17 Oct
@ Folgore Caratese
2–0
W
11 Oct
vs Ospitaletto
0–1
L
4 Oct
vs Giana Erminio
0–0
D
27 Sep
@ Renate
1–0
W
0.8Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Novara – last 6
WLDLWL
2 Nov
vs Desenzano Calvina
1–0
W
25 Oct
@ Arzignano Valchiampo
0–2
L
18 Oct
@ Albinoleffe
2–2
D
10 Oct
vs Cittadella
0–2
L
4 Oct
@ Dolomiti Bellunesi
2–1
W
26 Sep
vs Ospitaletto
0–2
L
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Treviso and Novara.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Treviso vs Novara?
On our numbers Treviso have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Novara 21%.
How many goals will there be in Treviso vs Novara?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Treviso vs Novara?
Our predicted score is Treviso 1–0 Novara, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Treviso vs Novara?
Treviso vs Novara (Serie C Girone A) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
