Value bet: Cittadella to win @ 1.73 – our chance 64% vs 58% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultCittadella to win ✗64% · @1.73
Double chanceCittadella or draw ✓87% · @1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗15% · fair 6.53
Giana Erminio vs Cittadella: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Cittadella travel to face Giana Erminio on Sunday 8 November in the Serie C Girone A, with Stadio Citta di Gorgonzola the venue – the ball rolls at 14:30 WAT. In the table, Giana Erminio are 16th, lower half, on 12 points after 13 matches; Cittadella are 1st (leading the league) with 31. There are 19 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Giana Erminio, last 5: LWWDD Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Alcione, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Cittadella, last 5: WWLWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Treviso, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Cittadella, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.5 for Giana Erminio.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Giana Erminio 0.7 xG, Cittadella 1.8 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 47%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Giana Erminio 13%, draw 23%, Cittadella 64%.
Lower-risk option: Cittadella or draw (87%) at 1.17.
GG/NG: NG (53%) at 1.83.
Price worth noting: Cittadella to win @1.73 – the bookmaker implies 58%, our ratings say 64%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Giana Erminio 0–1 Cittadella. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Giana Erminio13%fair 7.50 · @4.00
Draw23%fair 4.39 · @3.40
Cittadella64%fair 1.57 · @1.73
2.46Expected goals
0.67Giana Erminio xG
1.78Cittadella xG
47%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–115%
0–214%
1–110%
1–29%
0–09%
0–38%
From our goals model: Giana Erminio 0.7 – 1.8 Cittadella expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cittadella to win✗
64%
1.57
1.73 ▲
Double chance
Cittadella or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.17
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
53%
1.90
1.83
Draw no bet
Cittadella (draw no bet)
83%
1.21
–
Asian handicap
Cittadella -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
72%
1.39
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.87
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.33
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
1.11
First team to score
Cittadella to score first✗
66%
1.51
–
Half-time result
Cittadella ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cittadella / FT Cittadella✗
40%
2.48
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
15%
6.53
–
Recent results
Giana Erminio – last 6
LWWDDD
31 Oct
vs Alcione
1–3
L
25 Oct
@ Desenzano Calvina
2–1
W
19 Oct
vs Union Brescia
2–1
W
11 Oct
@ Renate
2–2
D
4 Oct
@ Treviso
0–0
D
26 Sep
vs PRO Vercelli
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Cittadella – last 6
WWLWWL
1 Nov
vs Treviso
1–0
W
28 Oct
@ Union Brescia
2–1
W
24 Oct
@ Union Brescia
1–2
L
19 Oct
vs Arzignano Valchiampo
1–0
W
10 Oct
@ Novara
2–0
W
3 Oct
vs Albinoleffe
1–2
L
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Giana Erminio and Cittadella.
What is the prediction for Giana Erminio vs Cittadella?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Giana Erminio vs Cittadella?
On our numbers Giana Erminio have a 13% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Cittadella 64%.
How many goals will there be in Giana Erminio vs Cittadella?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Giana Erminio vs Cittadella?
Our predicted score is Giana Erminio 0–1 Cittadella, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Giana Erminio vs Cittadella?
Giana Erminio vs Cittadella (Serie C Girone A) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Citta di Gorgonzola.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
