Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Gubbio to win @ 1.85 – our chance 60% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultGubbio to win ✗60% · @1.85
Double chanceGubbio or draw ✓84% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗81% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.06
Gubbio vs Vis Pesaro: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Vis Pesaro travel to face Gubbio on Sunday 1 November in the Serie C Girone B, with Stadio Pietro Barbetti the venue – the ball rolls at 14:30 WAT. In the table, Gubbio are 19th, in the drop zone, on 8 points after 13 matches; Vis Pesaro are 20th (in the drop zone) with 5. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Gubbio, last 5: DLLLL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Team Altamura, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.2 goals a game.
Vis Pesaro, last 5: LLLLW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Atalanta II, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (2 Sep 2026) it ended Gubbio 5–0 Vis Pesaro.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Gubbio 2.1 xG, Vis Pesaro 1.0 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 60% for three or more goals, 58% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Gubbio 60%, draw 24%, Vis Pesaro 16%.
Lower-risk option: Gubbio or draw (84%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.67.
Price worth noting: Gubbio to win @1.85 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 60%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Gubbio or draw (84%, odds 1.25 – longer than our fair 1.19, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Gubbio 2–1 Vis Pesaro. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Gubbio60%fair 1.67 · @1.85
Draw24%fair 4.15 · @3.30
Vis Pesaro16%fair 6.24 · @3.40
3.09Expected goals
2.07Gubbio xG
1.02Vis Pesaro xG
58%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
2–010%
1–110%
1–09%
3–17%
3–07%
From our goals model: Gubbio 2.1 – 1.0 Vis Pesaro expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Gubbio or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Gubbio vs Vis Pesaro?
On our numbers Gubbio have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Vis Pesaro 16%.
How many goals will there be in Gubbio vs Vis Pesaro?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gubbio vs Vis Pesaro?
Our predicted score is Gubbio 2–1 Vis Pesaro, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Gubbio vs Vis Pesaro?
Gubbio vs Vis Pesaro (Serie C Girone B) kicks off on Sunday 1 November 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Pietro Barbetti.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
