Spezia 67%Draw 24%Atalanta II 9%Expected goals 1.85 – 0.56
67%
Betarazi pick
Spezia to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.40Odds
Picks by market
ResultSpezia to win ✓67% · @1.40
Double chanceSpezia or draw ✓91% · @1.08
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗50% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 6.02
Spezia vs Atalanta II: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Atalanta II travel to face Spezia on Sunday 1 November in the Serie C Girone B, with Stadio Alberto Picco the venue – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT. In the table, Spezia are 1st, leading the league, on 35 points after 13 matches; Atalanta II are 10th (upper half) with 18. There are 17 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Spezia, last 5: WDWWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Livorno, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Atalanta II, last 5: WLWLL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Vis Pesaro, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Spezia, collecting 2.7 points per game to 1.0 for Atalanta II.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Spezia 1.8 xG, Atalanta II 0.6 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 50%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Spezia 67%, draw 24%, Atalanta II 9%.
GG/NG: NG (50%) at 1.80.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Spezia to win (67%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Spezia 1–0 Atalanta II. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Spezia67%fair 1.49 · @1.40
Draw24%fair 4.13 · @3.80
Atalanta II9%fair 11.27 · @6.50
2.41Expected goals
1.85Spezia xG
0.56Atalanta II xG
50%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–017%
2–015%
3–09%
1–19%
0–09%
2–19%
From our goals model: Spezia 1.8 – 0.6 Atalanta II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Spezia to win✓
67%
1.49
1.40
Double chance
Spezia or draw✓
91%
1.10
1.08
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
50%
1.99
1.80
Draw no bet
Spezia (draw no bet)✓
88%
1.13
–
Asian handicap
Spezia -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
69%
1.46
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.44
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.76
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.29
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
First team to score
Spezia to score first✓
70%
1.43
–
Half-time result
Spezia ahead at half-time✓
47%
2.11
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Spezia / FT Spezia✓
44%
2.29
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
17%
6.02
–
Recent results
Spezia – last 6
WDWWWW
28 Oct
vs Livorno
2–1
W
24 Oct
vs Latina
1–1
D
18 Oct
@ Ravenna
1–0
W
10 Oct
vs Gubbio
2–0
W
4 Oct
@ Reggiana
1–0
W
27 Sep
@ Pescara
2–1
W
1.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Atalanta II – last 6
WLWLLL
28 Oct
vs Vis Pesaro
2–1
W
24 Oct
vs Campobasso FC
1–2
L
18 Oct
@ Gubbio
2–0
W
14 Oct
@ Latina
0–2
L
11 Oct
@ Torres
1–2
L
20 Sep
vs Ravenna
0–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Spezia and Atalanta II.
Our pick is Spezia to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Spezia vs Atalanta II?
On our numbers Spezia have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Atalanta II 9%.
How many goals will there be in Spezia vs Atalanta II?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Spezia vs Atalanta II?
Our predicted score is Spezia 1–0 Atalanta II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Spezia vs Atalanta II?
Spezia vs Atalanta II (Serie C Girone B) kicks off on Sunday 1 November 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Alberto Picco.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
