Value bet: Sorrento to win @ 3.50 – our chance 32% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultCavese to win ✗44% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.36
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.67
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗68% · fair 1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.63
Cavese vs Sorrento: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Cavese welcome Sorrento to Stadio Simonetta Lamberti for a Serie C Girone C fixture on Tuesday 15 September (20:00 WAT). In the table, Cavese are 11th, lower half, on 16 points after 13 matches; Sorrento are 9th (upper half) with 20.
Current form
Cavese, last 5: DDWLL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Cosenza, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Sorrento, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over AZ Picerno, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Sorrento, collecting 2.7 points per game to 1.3 for Cavese.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Cavese 1.1 xG, Sorrento 0.9 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 68%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Cavese 44%, draw 25%, Sorrento 32%.
GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.67.
Price worth noting: Sorrento to win @3.50 – the bookmaker implies 29%, our ratings say 32%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Not both teams to score (51%, odds 1.67). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cavese 1–0 Sorrento. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Cavese44%fair 2.29 · @2.05
Draw25%fair 4.05 · @2.80
Sorrento32%fair 3.15 · @3.50
2.00Expected goals
1.11Cavese xG
0.89Sorrento xG
49%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
0–014%
1–113%
0–112%
2–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: Cavese 1.1 – 0.9 Sorrento expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cavese to win✗
44%
2.29
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.36
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
51%
1.95
1.67
Draw no bet
Cavese (draw no bet)✗
58%
1.73
–
Asian handicap
Sorrento +1 (Asian handicap)✓
78%
1.28
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
59%
1.68
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
86%
1.17
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
95%
1.06
–
First team to score
Cavese to score first✗
48%
2.08
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
50%
2.01
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cavese / FT Cavese✗
23%
4.36
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.63
–
Recent results
Cavese – last 6
DDWLLW
12 Sep
@ Cosenza
0–0
D
6 Sep
@ Salernitana
1–1
D
28 Aug
vs Audace Cerignola
3–1
W
21 Aug
@ Bari
0–3
L
15 Aug
@ Campobasso FC
0–2
L
6 Aug
@ Juve Stabia
1–0
W
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Sorrento – last 6
WWWWWD
12 Sep
vs AZ Picerno
1–0
W
5 Sep
@ Giugliano
2–0
W
2 Sep
vs Cosenza
1–0
W
29 Aug
vs Crotone
1–0
W
24 Aug
@ Salernitana
2–1
W
16 Aug
@ Giugliano
0–0
D
1.2Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cavese and Sorrento.
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Cavese vs Sorrento?
On our numbers Cavese have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Sorrento 32%.
How many goals will there be in Cavese vs Sorrento?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cavese vs Sorrento?
Our predicted score is Cavese 1–0 Sorrento, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Cavese vs Sorrento?
Cavese vs Sorrento (Serie C Girone C) kicks off on Tuesday 15 September 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Simonetta Lamberti.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
