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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

AZ Picerno v Catania: numbers & prediction

Serie C Girone C · Italy · Stadio Comunale Donato Curcio
2–4
FT

Catania

LWLLL
AZ Picerno 39%Draw 25%Catania 36% Expected goals 1.59 – 1.54
58%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.71 · bookmaker 1.91 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.91Odds
1

Value bet: AZ Picerno to win @ 2.90 – our chance 39% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultAZ Picerno to win ✗39% · @2.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.91
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.72

AZ Picerno vs Catania: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Tuesday 15 September the Serie C Girone C brings AZ Picerno against Catania at Stadio Comunale Donato Curcio. Kick-off: 17:30 WAT. In the table, AZ Picerno are 10th, upper half, on 19 points after 13 matches; Catania are 3rd (among the top four) with 22. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

AZ Picerno, last 5: LWDWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Sorrento, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.

Catania, last 5: LWLLL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Scafatese, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Momentum favours AZ Picerno, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.5 for Catania.

Head to head

When they last met (6 Apr 2026) it ended Catania 1–2 AZ Picerno.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give AZ Picerno 1.6 xG, Catania 1.5 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 61% and GG at 58%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – AZ Picerno 39%, draw 25%, Catania 36%.
  • GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.91.
  • Price worth noting: AZ Picerno to win @2.90 – the bookmaker implies 34%, our ratings say 39%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (58%, odds 1.91 – longer than our fair 1.71, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: AZ Picerno 1–1 Catania. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

AZ Picerno39%fair 2.57 · @2.90
Draw25%fair 4.07 · @2.80
Catania36%fair 2.74 · @2.30
3.13Expected goals
1.59AZ Picerno xG
1.54Catania xG
58%Both score
61%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
2–19%
1–28%
1–07%
0–17%
2–27%

From our goals model: AZ Picerno 1.6 – 1.5 Catania expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAZ Picerno to win ✗39%2.572.90 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75%1.331.36
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓58%1.711.91 ▲
Draw no betAZ Picerno (draw no bet) ✗52%1.94–
Asian handicapCatania +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓61%1.65–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82%1.22–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓61%1.65–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗62%1.62–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗79%1.26–
First team to scoreAZ Picerno to score first ✗49%2.05–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗39%2.58–
Half-time / full-timeHT AZ Picerno / FT AZ Picerno ✗23%4.28–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.72–

Recent results

AZ Picerno – last 6

LWDWWW
12 Sep@ Sorrento0–1L
7 Sepvs Inter U234–1W
1 Sep@ Bari1–1D
28 Aug@ Scafatese2–0W
23 Augvs Savoia3–2W
14 Augvs Barletta2–1W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Catania – last 6

LWLLLL
12 Sepvs Scafatese1–2L
7 Sepvs Cosenza4–0W
2 Sepvs Savoia0–3L
29 Aug@ SS Monopoli0–2L
23 Augvs Inter U231–2L
14 Aug@ Parma0–2L
1.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

6 Apr 2026Catania v AZ Picerno1–2
AZ Picerno vs Catania head-to-head page →

Serie C Girone C table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Potenza131021+1732
2Bari13652+723
3Catania13715+1322
4Scafatese13562+521
5Audace Cerignola13625+520
6SS Monopoli13553+420
7Inter U2313625+220
8Casertana13553+220
9Sorrento13625+120
10AZ Picerno13616+319
11Cavese13445+116
12Team Altamura13445-616
13Giugliano13517-1216
14Salernitana13364-215
15Barletta13364-215
16Foggia13436-315
17Casarano13436-615
18Savoia13265-712
19Cosenza13247-1310
20Crotone13148-91

More Serie C Girone C predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for AZ Picerno vs Catania?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.

Who will win AZ Picerno vs Catania?

On our numbers AZ Picerno have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Catania 36%.

How many goals will there be in AZ Picerno vs Catania?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for AZ Picerno vs Catania?

Our predicted score is AZ Picerno 1–1 Catania, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.

When is AZ Picerno vs Catania?

AZ Picerno vs Catania (Serie C Girone C) kicks off on Tuesday 15 September 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Comunale Donato Curcio.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.