Catania 60%Draw 19%Crotone 21%Expected goals 1.80 – 0.91
60%
Betarazi pick
Catania to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.67 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.50Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.95 – our chance 55% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultCatania to win ✓60% · @1.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.95
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.20
Catania vs Crotone: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Crotone travel to face Catania on Saturday 3 October in the Serie C Girone C, with Stadio Angelo Massimino the venue – the ball rolls at 19:30 WAT. In the table, Catania are 3rd, among the top four, on 22 points after 13 matches; Crotone are 20th (in the drop zone) with 1. There are 21 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Catania, last 5: WDWLW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Casertana, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Crotone, last 5: WDLDD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Salernitana, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Catania, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.0 for Crotone.
Head to head
When they last met (13 Apr 2026) it ended Crotone 2–0 Catania.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Catania 1.8 xG, Crotone 0.9 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 55%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Catania 60%, draw 19%, Crotone 21%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.95.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 55%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Catania to win (60%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Catania 1–0 Crotone. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Catania60%fair 1.67 · @1.50
Draw19%fair 5.16 · @3.75
Crotone21%fair 4.86 · @5.00
2.71Expected goals
1.80Catania xG
0.91Crotone xG
55%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
1–111%
2–011%
2–110%
0–07%
3–06%
From our goals model: Catania 1.8 – 0.9 Crotone expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Catania to win with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Catania vs Crotone?
On our numbers Catania have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Crotone 21%.
How many goals will there be in Catania vs Crotone?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Catania vs Crotone?
Our predicted score is Catania 1–0 Crotone, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Catania vs Crotone?
Catania vs Crotone (Serie C Girone C) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Angelo Massimino.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
