Value bet: SS Monopoli to win @ 1.73 – our chance 63% vs 58% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultSS Monopoli to win ✗63% · @1.73
Double chanceSS Monopoli or draw ✓85% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.28
SS Monopoli vs Savoia: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
16:30 WAT, Saturday 3 October: SS Monopoli v Savoia in the Serie C Girone C, played at Stadio Vito Simone Veneziani. In the table, SS Monopoli are 6th, upper half, on 20 points after 13 matches; Savoia are 18th (in the drop zone) with 12.
Current form
SS Monopoli, last 5: WDDWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Casarano, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Savoia, last 5: LDDDW Their latest outing: 2–4 defeat to Cavese, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give SS Monopoli 1.7 xG, Savoia 0.6 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 51%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – SS Monopoli 63%, draw 22%, Savoia 15%.
Lower-risk option: SS Monopoli or draw (85%) at 1.14.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.00.
Price worth noting: SS Monopoli to win @1.73 – the bookmaker implies 58%, our ratings say 63%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (77%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: SS Monopoli 1–0 Savoia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
SS Monopoli63%fair 1.59 · @1.73
Draw22%fair 4.63 · @3.30
Savoia15%fair 6.50 · @4.33
2.30Expected goals
1.66SS Monopoli xG
0.65Savoia xG
51%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–017%
2–014%
1–111%
0–010%
2–19%
3–08%
From our goals model: SS Monopoli 1.7 – 0.6 Savoia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
SS Monopoli to win✗
63%
1.59
1.73 ▲
Double chance
SS Monopoli or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.14
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.97
2.00
Draw no bet
SS Monopoli (draw no bet)
80%
1.24
–
Asian handicap
SS Monopoli -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
68%
1.47
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.74
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
1.08
First team to score
SS Monopoli to score first✗
65%
1.54
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT SS Monopoli / FT SS Monopoli✗
38%
2.61
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.28
–
Recent results
SS Monopoli – last 6
WDDWLD
27 Sep
@ Casarano
1–0
W
20 Sep
vs Crotone
2–2
D
15 Sep
@ Scafatese
0–0
D
12 Sep
vs Foggia
1–0
W
5 Sep
@ Potenza
0–1
L
1 Sep
@ Potenza
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Savoia – last 6
LDDDWW
26 Sep
@ Cavese
2–4
L
19 Sep
vs Casarano
1–1
D
15 Sep
@ Foggia
0–0
D
12 Sep
vs Crotone
1–1
D
6 Sep
@ Team Altamura
2–0
W
2 Sep
@ Catania
3–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between SS Monopoli and Savoia.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win SS Monopoli vs Savoia?
On our numbers SS Monopoli have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Savoia 15%.
How many goals will there be in SS Monopoli vs Savoia?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for SS Monopoli vs Savoia?
Our predicted score is SS Monopoli 1–0 Savoia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is SS Monopoli vs Savoia?
SS Monopoli vs Savoia (Serie C Girone C) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Vito Simone Veneziani.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
