Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.62 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.62Odds
Picks by market
ResultSorrento to win ✓44% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.36
Sorrento vs Casarano: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 3 October the Serie C Girone C brings Sorrento against Casarano at Stadio Comunale Donato Curcio. Kick-off: 13:30 WAT. In the table, Sorrento are 9th, upper half, on 20 points after 13 matches; Casarano are 17th (lower half) with 15.
Current form
Sorrento, last 5: LLWWW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Foggia, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Casarano, last 5: LDWWL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to SS Monopoli, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sorrento 1.4 xG, Casarano 1.3 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 62%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sorrento 44%, draw 21%, Casarano 35%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.62.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (62%, odds 1.62). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sorrento 1–1 Casarano. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sorrento44%fair 2.29 · @2.30
Draw21%fair 4.69 · @3.30
Casarano35%fair 2.85 · @2.50
2.71Expected goals
1.45Sorrento xG
1.26Casarano xG
62%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–07%
From our goals model: Sorrento 1.4 – 1.3 Casarano expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sorrento to win✓
44%
2.29
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
62%
1.61
1.62
Draw no bet
Sorrento (draw no bet)✓
55%
1.80
–
Asian handicap
Casarano +1 (Asian handicap)✗
75%
1.34
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.97
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
First team to score
Sorrento to score first✓
50%
2.01
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.38
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sorrento / FT Sorrento✓
24%
4.11
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.36
–
Recent results
Sorrento – last 6
LLWWWW
27 Sep
@ Foggia
0–2
L
19 Sep
vs Bari
1–2
L
15 Sep
@ Cavese
3–2
W
12 Sep
vs AZ Picerno
1–0
W
5 Sep
@ Giugliano
2–0
W
2 Sep
vs Cosenza
1–0
W
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Casarano – last 6
LDWWLW
27 Sep
vs SS Monopoli
0–1
L
19 Sep
@ Savoia
1–1
D
15 Sep
vs Audace Cerignola
1–0
W
11 Sep
vs Barletta
3–1
W
5 Sep
@ Bari
0–1
L
28 Aug
vs Giugliano
4–3
W
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sorrento and Casarano.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Sorrento vs Casarano?
On our numbers Sorrento have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Casarano 35%.
How many goals will there be in Sorrento vs Casarano?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sorrento vs Casarano?
Our predicted score is Sorrento 1–1 Casarano, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Sorrento vs Casarano?
Sorrento vs Casarano (Serie C Girone C) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Comunale Donato Curcio.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
