Value bet: Gibraltar to win @ 3.00 – our chance 43% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +28%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultGibraltar to win ✓43% · @3.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @2.20
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.57
Liechtenstein vs Gibraltar: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Gibraltar travel to face Liechtenstein on Monday 5 October in the Friendlies – the ball rolls at 19:45 WAT.
Current form
Liechtenstein, last 5: DLLLL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Azerbaijan, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.2 goals a game.
Gibraltar, last 5: DDDWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Malta, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Gibraltar, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.2 for Liechtenstein.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Liechtenstein 1.1 xG, Gibraltar 1.4 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 54%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Liechtenstein 32%, draw 25%, Gibraltar 43%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 2.20.
Price worth noting: Gibraltar to win @3.00 – the bookmaker implies 33%, our ratings say 43%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (54%, odds 2.20 – longer than our fair 1.86, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Liechtenstein 1–1 Gibraltar. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Liechtenstein32%fair 3.08 · @2.38
Draw25%fair 4.01 · @2.80
Gibraltar43%fair 2.34 · @3.00
2.50Expected goals
1.14Liechtenstein xG
1.36Gibraltar xG
54%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–111%
1–09%
1–29%
0–08%
0–28%
From our goals model: Liechtenstein 1.1 – 1.4 Gibraltar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Gibraltar to win✓
43%
2.34
3.00 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.86
2.20 ▲
Draw no bet
Gibraltar (draw no bet)✓
57%
1.76
–
Asian handicap
Liechtenstein +1 (Asian handicap)✗
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.84
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
First team to score
Gibraltar to score first✓
50%
2.01
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Gibraltar / FT Gibraltar✓
24%
4.12
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.57
–
Recent results
Liechtenstein – last 6
DLLLLL
1 Oct
@ Azerbaijan
0–0
D
27 Sep
@ Malta
0–2
L
24 Sep
vs Lithuania
0–2
L
7 Jun
vs Cyprus
0–2
L
4 Jun
@ Andorra
0–2
L
29 Mar
@ Aruba
1–4
L
0.2Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Gibraltar – last 6
DDDWWL
1 Oct
@ Malta
1–1
D
27 Sep
vs Andorra
0–0
D
23 Sep
vs Sao Tome and Principe
0–0
D
6 Jun
vs Cayman Islands
4–1
W
3 Jun
vs British Virgin Islands
4–0
W
31 Mar
@ Latvia
0–1
L
1.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Liechtenstein and Gibraltar.
What is the prediction for Liechtenstein vs Gibraltar?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.20.
Who will win Liechtenstein vs Gibraltar?
On our numbers Liechtenstein have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Gibraltar 43%.
How many goals will there be in Liechtenstein vs Gibraltar?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Liechtenstein vs Gibraltar?
Our predicted score is Liechtenstein 1–1 Gibraltar, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Liechtenstein vs Gibraltar?
Liechtenstein vs Gibraltar (Friendlies) kicks off on Monday 5 October 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.