Value bet: Congo DR to win @ 4.00 – our chance 50% vs 25% implied by the price (edge +98%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultCongo DR to win ✗50% · @4.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · fair 1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓73% · fair 1.37
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗18% · fair 5.54
Uganda vs Congo DR: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Monday 5 October the Friendlies brings Uganda against Congo DR. Kick-off: 14:00 WAT.
Current form
Uganda, last 3: WWD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Congo DR, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Congo DR, last 5: LWWLW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Uganda, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Uganda, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.5 for Congo DR.
Head to head
When they last met (2 Oct 2026) it ended Congo DR 0–2 Uganda.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Uganda 0.7 xG, Congo DR 1.1 xG – a total near 1.8. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 73%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Uganda 29%, draw 22%, Congo DR 50%.
GG/NG: NG (52%) at 1.70.
Price worth noting: Congo DR to win @4.00 – the bookmaker implies 25%, our ratings say 50%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Not both teams to score (52%, odds 1.70). Most likely score in line with that pick: Uganda 0–1 Congo DR. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Uganda29%fair 3.47 · @1.85
Draw22%fair 4.63 · @3.00
Congo DR50%fair 2.02 · @4.00
1.80Expected goals
0.71Uganda xG
1.09Congo DR xG
48%Both score
27%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–118%
0–017%
1–113%
1–012%
0–210%
1–27%
From our goals model: Uganda 0.7 – 1.1 Congo DR expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Uganda vs Congo DR?
On our numbers Uganda have a 29% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Congo DR 50%.
How many goals will there be in Uganda vs Congo DR?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 27% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Uganda vs Congo DR?
Our predicted score is Uganda 0–1 Congo DR, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Uganda vs Congo DR?
Uganda vs Congo DR (Friendlies) kicks off on Monday 5 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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