Very strong pick · fair odds 1.18 · bookmaker 1.24 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.24Odds
1
Value bet: Mauritius to win @ 1.86 – our chance 63% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultMauritius to win ✗63% · @1.86
Double chanceMauritius or draw ✗85% · @1.24
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.09
Mauritius vs Sri Lanka: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Monday 5 October the Friendlies brings Mauritius against Sri Lanka. Kick-off: 16:00 WAT.
Current form
Mauritius, last 3: WDD Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Sri Lanka, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Sri Lanka, last 5: LWWWW Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Mauritius, away. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. The attack is flying at 2.4 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Sri Lanka, collecting 2.4 points per game to 1.7 for Mauritius.
Head to head
When they last met (2 Oct 2026) it ended Mauritius 3–0 Sri Lanka.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Mauritius 2.0 xG, Sri Lanka 0.9 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 54% and GG at 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Mauritius 63%, draw 22%, Sri Lanka 15%.
Lower-risk option: Mauritius or draw (85%) at 1.24.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.70.
Price worth noting: Mauritius to win @1.86 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 63%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Mauritius or draw (85%, odds 1.24 – longer than our fair 1.18, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Mauritius 2–0 Sri Lanka. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Mauritius63%fair 1.59 · @1.86
Draw22%fair 4.58 · @3.64
Sri Lanka15%fair 6.58 · @3.65
2.96Expected goals
2.05Mauritius xG
0.91Sri Lanka xG
56%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–011%
1–011%
2–110%
1–110%
3–07%
3–17%
From our goals model: Mauritius 2.0 – 0.9 Sri Lanka expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Mauritius vs Sri Lanka?
Our pick is Mauritius or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.24.
Who will win Mauritius vs Sri Lanka?
On our numbers Mauritius have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Sri Lanka 15%.
How many goals will there be in Mauritius vs Sri Lanka?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mauritius vs Sri Lanka?
Our predicted score is Mauritius 2–0 Sri Lanka, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Mauritius vs Sri Lanka?
Mauritius vs Sri Lanka (Friendlies) kicks off on Monday 5 October 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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