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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Cerro Porteno v Club Sp. San Lorenzo: numbers & prediction

Division Profesional Clausura · Paraguay · Estadio General Pablo Rojas
Cerro Porteno 69%Draw 20%Club Sp. San Lorenzo 11% Expected goals 1.88 – 0.57
74%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.34 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.30Odds

Picks by market

ResultCerro Porteno to win ✓69% · @1.33
Double chanceCerro Porteno or draw ✓89% · fair 1.12
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · @1.55
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓16% · fair 6.12

Cerro Porteno vs Club Sp. San Lorenzo: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Club Sp. San Lorenzo travel to face Cerro Porteno on Sunday 16 August in the Division Profesional Clausura, with Estadio General Pablo Rojas the venue – the ball rolls at 14:00 WAT. In the table, Cerro Porteno are 7th, lower half, on 28 points after 19 matches; Club Sp. San Lorenzo are 12th (in the drop zone) with 11. There are 17 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Cerro Porteno, last 5: DLWLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Palmeiras, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Club Sp. San Lorenzo, last 5: DLLLD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with 29 de Setiembre, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.

Head to head

When they last met (29 Mar 2026) it ended Cerro Porteno 2–0 Club Sp. San Lorenzo.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Cerro Porteno 1.9 xG, Club Sp. San Lorenzo 0.6 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 47%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Cerro Porteno 69%, draw 20%, Club Sp. San Lorenzo 11%.
  • GG/NG: NG (53%) at 1.55.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cerro Porteno 1–0 Club Sp. San Lorenzo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Cerro Porteno69%fair 1.44 · @1.33
Draw20%fair 5.08 · @4.20
Club Sp. San Lorenzo11%fair 9.19 · @9.60
2.44Expected goals
1.88Cerro Porteno xG
0.57Club Sp. San Lorenzo xG
47%Both score
47%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–016%
2–015%
3–010%
1–19%
0–09%
2–19%

From our goals model: Cerro Porteno 1.9 – 0.6 Club Sp. San Lorenzo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCerro Porteno to win ✓69%1.441.33
Double chanceCerro Porteno or draw ✓89%1.12–
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓53%1.871.55
Draw no betCerro Porteno (draw no bet) ✓86%1.16–
Asian handicapCerro Porteno -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓69%1.45–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗71%1.411.30
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓53%1.871.83
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74%1.341.30
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓90%1.11–
First team to scoreCerro Porteno to score first ✓70%1.43–
Half-time resultCerro Porteno ahead at half-time ✓48%2.09–
Half-time / full-timeHT Cerro Porteno / FT Cerro Porteno ✓44%2.26–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓16%6.12–

Recent results

Cerro Porteno – last 6

DLWLLW
12 Aug@ Palmeiras1–1D
8 Aug@ Sportivo Ameliano0–1L
1 Augvs Sportivo Luqueno3–0W
28 Jul@ 2 de Mayo1–2L
24 Julvs Sportivo Trinidense1–2L
28 Mayvs Sporting Cristal2–0W
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Club Sp. San Lorenzo – last 6

DLLLDW
12 Aug@ 29 de Setiembre1–1D
9 Augvs Sportivo Luqueno0–2L
3 Aug@ Sportivo Trinidense0–3L
30 Julvs Club Guarani0–1L
25 Jul@ Deportivo Recoleta1–1D
22 May@ 2 de Mayo1–0W
0.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

29 Mar 2026Cerro Porteno v Club Sp. San Lorenzo2–0
Cerro Porteno vs Club Sp. San Lorenzo head-to-head page →

Division Profesional Clausura table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Olimpia191333+2342
2Sportivo Trinidense191045+1334
3Libertad Asuncion191036+833
4Nacional Asuncion19955+1232
5Club Guarani19874+431
62 de Mayo19865-330
7Cerro Porteno19847+528
8Sportivo Luqueno197111-822
9Sportivo Ameliano19478-919
10Rubio NU194510-1517
11Deportivo Recoleta194411-1216
12Club Sp. San Lorenzo192512-1811

More Division Profesional Clausura predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Cerro Porteno vs Club Sp. San Lorenzo?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win Cerro Porteno vs Club Sp. San Lorenzo?

On our numbers Cerro Porteno have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Club Sp. San Lorenzo 11%.

How many goals will there be in Cerro Porteno vs Club Sp. San Lorenzo?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Cerro Porteno vs Club Sp. San Lorenzo?

Our predicted score is Cerro Porteno 1–0 Club Sp. San Lorenzo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Cerro Porteno vs Club Sp. San Lorenzo?

Cerro Porteno vs Club Sp. San Lorenzo (Division Profesional Clausura) kicks off on Sunday 16 August 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio General Pablo Rojas.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.