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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Sportivo Luqueno v Libertad Asuncion: numbers & prediction

Division Profesional Clausura · Paraguay · Estadio Luis Alberto Salinas Tanasio

Sportivo Luqueno

WLLWD
1–2
FT

Libertad Asuncion

WLWWL
Sportivo Luqueno 27%Draw 23%Libertad Asuncion 51% Expected goals 1.14 – 1.68
73%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.37 · bookmaker 1.36 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.36Odds

Picks by market

ResultLibertad Asuncion to win ✓51% · @1.97
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓10% · fair 10.44

Sportivo Luqueno vs Libertad Asuncion: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

20:00 WAT, Sunday 16 August: Sportivo Luqueno v Libertad Asuncion in the Division Profesional Clausura, played at Estadio Luis Alberto Salinas Tanasio. In the table, Sportivo Luqueno are 8th, lower half, on 22 points after 19 matches; Libertad Asuncion are 3rd (among the top four) with 33.

Current form

Sportivo Luqueno, last 5: WLLWD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Club Sp. San Lorenzo, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Libertad Asuncion, last 5: WLWWL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Sportivo Trinidense, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (11 May 2026) it ended Sportivo Luqueno 2–3 Libertad Asuncion. The last 2 head-to-heads: Sportivo Luqueno 0 wins, Libertad Asuncion 2, draws 0. Those games averaged 3.0 goals and saw GG land 1 time.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Sportivo Luqueno 1.1 xG, Libertad Asuncion 1.7 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 58%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Sportivo Luqueno 27%, draw 23%, Libertad Asuncion 51%.
  • GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.80.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (73%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sportivo Luqueno 1–1 Libertad Asuncion. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Sportivo Luqueno27%fair 3.74 · @3.65
Draw23%fair 4.42 · @3.25
Libertad Asuncion51%fair 1.97 · @1.97
2.82Expected goals
1.14Sportivo Luqueno xG
1.68Libertad Asuncion xG
58%Both score
50%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
0–110%
1–210%
0–28%
1–07%
2–17%

From our goals model: Sportivo Luqueno 1.1 – 1.7 Libertad Asuncion expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLibertad Asuncion to win ✓51%1.971.97
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77%1.291.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓58%1.721.80
Draw no betLibertad Asuncion (draw no bet) ✓65%1.53–
Asian handicapSportivo Luqueno +1 (Asian handicap)65%1.53–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73%1.371.36
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗50%1.991.73
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓72%1.401.25
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓84%1.18–
First team to scoreLibertad Asuncion to score first56%1.79–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓41%2.46–
Half-time / full-timeHT Libertad Asuncion / FT Libertad Asuncion ✗30%3.30–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓10%10.44–

Recent results

Sportivo Luqueno – last 6

WLLWDL
9 Aug@ Club Sp. San Lorenzo2–0W
1 Aug@ Cerro Porteno0–3L
29 Julvs Sportivo Trinidense1–4L
26 Jul@ Club Guarani2–1W
17 May@ Club Sp. San Lorenzo0–0D
11 Mayvs Libertad Asuncion2–3L
1.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Libertad Asuncion – last 6

WLWWLL
10 Augvs Sportivo Trinidense2–1W
2 Aug@ Club Guarani1–2L
30 Julvs Deportivo Recoleta4–1W
26 Jul@ Olimpia1–0W
27 Mayvs UCV0–1L
24 May@ Nacional Asuncion1–2L
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

11 May 2026Sportivo Luqueno v Libertad Asuncion2–3
8 Mar 2026Libertad Asuncion v Sportivo Luqueno1–0
Sportivo Luqueno vs Libertad Asuncion head-to-head page →

Division Profesional Clausura table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Olimpia191333+2342
2Sportivo Trinidense191045+1334
3Libertad Asuncion191036+833
4Nacional Asuncion19955+1232
5Club Guarani19874+431
62 de Mayo19865-330
7Cerro Porteno19847+528
8Sportivo Luqueno197111-822
9Sportivo Ameliano19478-919
10Rubio NU194510-1517
11Deportivo Recoleta194411-1216
12Club Sp. San Lorenzo192512-1811

More Division Profesional Clausura predictions

League hub
FT Cerro Porteno1 Club Sp. San Lorenzo0 169%1.33X20%4.20211%9.60 1.9–0.6xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 74%@1.30 ✓
FT Olimpia2 Sportivo Ameliano1 161%1.68X25%3.45213%4.85 1.6–0.6xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 78%@1.25 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Sportivo Luqueno vs Libertad Asuncion?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.

Who will win Sportivo Luqueno vs Libertad Asuncion?

On our numbers Sportivo Luqueno have a 27% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Libertad Asuncion 51%.

How many goals will there be in Sportivo Luqueno vs Libertad Asuncion?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Sportivo Luqueno vs Libertad Asuncion?

Our predicted score is Sportivo Luqueno 1–1 Libertad Asuncion, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Sportivo Luqueno vs Libertad Asuncion?

Sportivo Luqueno vs Libertad Asuncion (Division Profesional Clausura) kicks off on Sunday 16 August 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Luis Alberto Salinas Tanasio.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.