Olimpia vs Sportivo Ameliano: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 16 August the Division Profesional Clausura brings Olimpia against Sportivo Ameliano at Estadio Defensores del Chaco. Kick-off: 22:30 WAT. In the table, Olimpia are 1st, leading the league, on 42 points after 19 matches; Sportivo Ameliano are 9th (lower half) with 19. There are 23 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Olimpia, last 5: DLWLL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Vasco DA Gama, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Sportivo Ameliano, last 5: LWDDD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Independiente F.b.c., away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Head to head
When they last met (3 May 2026) it ended Olimpia 1–1 Sportivo Ameliano.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Olimpia 1.6 xG, Sportivo Ameliano 0.6 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 51%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Olimpia 61%, draw 25%, Sportivo Ameliano 13%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.91.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (78%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Olimpia 1–0 Sportivo Ameliano. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Olimpia61%fair 1.63 · @1.68
Draw25%fair 3.98 · @3.45
Sportivo Ameliano13%fair 7.43 · @4.85
2.25Expected goals
1.63Olimpia xG
0.62Sportivo Ameliano xG
51%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–017%
2–014%
1–111%
0–011%
2–19%
3–08%
From our goals model: Olimpia 1.6 – 0.6 Sportivo Ameliano expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Olimpia vs Sportivo Ameliano?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Olimpia vs Sportivo Ameliano?
On our numbers Olimpia have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Sportivo Ameliano 13%.
How many goals will there be in Olimpia vs Sportivo Ameliano?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Olimpia vs Sportivo Ameliano?
Our predicted score is Olimpia 1–0 Sportivo Ameliano, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Olimpia vs Sportivo Ameliano?
Olimpia vs Sportivo Ameliano (Division Profesional Clausura) kicks off on Sunday 16 August 2026 at 22:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Defensores del Chaco.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
