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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

River Plate Res. v Sarmiento Res.: numbers & prediction

Reserve League · Argentina
1–0
FT
River Plate Res. 65%Draw 19%Sarmiento Res. 16% Expected goals 1.64 – 0.61
65%
Betarazi pick

River Plate Res. to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.35 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.35Odds

Picks by market

ResultRiver Plate Res. to win ✓65% · @1.35
Double chanceRiver Plate Res. or draw ✓84% · @1.08
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗50% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.56

River Plate Res. vs Sarmiento Res.: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Sarmiento Res. travel to face River Plate Res. on Thursday 1 October in the Reserve League – the ball rolls at 23:00 WAT. In the table, River Plate Res. are 7th, upper half, on 29 points after 16 matches; Sarmiento Res. are 15th (upper half) with 22.

Current form

River Plate Res., last 5: DDDWD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Boca Juniors Res., at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Sarmiento Res., last 5: WLDDD Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Atl. Rafaela 2, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (28 Apr 2026) it ended Sarmiento Res. 2–3 River Plate Res..

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give River Plate Res. 1.6 xG, Sarmiento Res. 0.6 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 39%, GG 50%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – River Plate Res. 65%, draw 19%, Sarmiento Res. 16%.
  • GG/NG: GG (50%) at 2.00.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was River Plate Res. to win (65%, odds 1.35). Most likely score in line with that pick: River Plate Res. 1–0 Sarmiento Res.. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

River Plate Res.65%fair 1.54 · @1.35
Draw19%fair 5.35 · @4.33
Sarmiento Res.16%fair 6.17 · @7.00
2.25Expected goals
1.64River Plate Res. xG
0.61Sarmiento Res. xG
50%Both score
39%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–017%
2–014%
1–111%
0–011%
2–19%
3–08%

From our goals model: River Plate Res. 1.6 – 0.6 Sarmiento Res. expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultRiver Plate Res. to win ✓65%1.541.35
Double chanceRiver Plate Res. or draw ✓84%1.191.08
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗50%1.992.00
Draw no betRiver Plate Res. (draw no bet) ✓80%1.25–
Asian handicapRiver Plate Res. -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓62%1.60–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗66%1.52–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓61%1.64–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81%1.24–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓92%1.08–
First team to scoreRiver Plate Res. to score first ✓65%1.53–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓45%2.24–
Half-time / full-timeHT River Plate Res. / FT River Plate Res. ✗39%2.59–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.56–

Recent results

River Plate Res. – last 6

DDDWDW
25 Sepvs Boca Juniors Res.2–2D
15 Sep@ Argentinos Juniors Res.0–0D
8 Sepvs Aldosivi Res.2–2D
1 Sep@ Gimnasia La Plata Res.1–0W
26 Augvs Unión Santa Fe Res.2–2D
18 Aug@ Atlético Tucumán Res.4–1W
1.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Sarmiento Res. – last 6

WLDDDW
23 Sepvs Atl. Rafaela 23–1W
15 Sepvs Racing Club Res.0–1L
9 Sep@ Instituto Res.2–2D
1 Sep@ Argentinos Juniors Res.1–1D
25 Augvs Aldosivi Res.0–0D
19 Aug@ Gimnasia La Plata Res.2–0W
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

28 Apr 2026Sarmiento Res. v River Plate Res.2–3
River Plate Res. vs Sarmiento Res. head-to-head page →

Reserve League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Vélez Sársfield Res.201523+2947
2Boca Juniors Res.201235+2439
3Racing Club Res.211164+739
4River Plate Res.211146+937
5Independiente Res.191135+1936
6Lanús Res.191126+1335
7Newell's Old Boys Res.191045+934
8Quilmes 2181035+833
9Defensa y Justicia Res.18954+1432
10Atlético Tucumán Res.19937-230
11Unión Santa Fe Res.18783+429
12Estudiantes La Plata Res18846+928
13Argentinos Juniors Res.18774+628
14Belgrano Córdoba Res.18837-227
15Talleres Córdoba Res.18756+626
16Huracán Res.18756+626
17Rosario Central Res.18756+326
18Platense Res.18756-326
19Deportivo Riestra Res.18747+725
20Independiente Riva. Res.18738024
21Instituto Res.18594-124
22San Lorenzo Res.18666-224
23Gimnasia La Plata Res.18657+223
24Gimnasia Mendoza 218657-323
25Banfield Res.18657-423
26Ferro 218648-322
27Central Córdoba SdE Res.18549-1219
28Colón Res.185310-818
29Aldosivi Res.185310-1118
30Barracas Central Res.18459-1317
31Sarmiento Res.184410-1016
32Tigre Res.184410-1016
33Godoy Cruz Res.184311-1015
34Atl. Rafaela 2183312-1512
35Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2182511-2311
36San Martín San Juan Res.182214-438

More Reserve League predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for River Plate Res. vs Sarmiento Res.?

Our pick is River Plate Res. to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.

Who will win River Plate Res. vs Sarmiento Res.?

On our numbers River Plate Res. have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Sarmiento Res. 16%.

How many goals will there be in River Plate Res. vs Sarmiento Res.?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for River Plate Res. vs Sarmiento Res.?

Our predicted score is River Plate Res. 1–0 Sarmiento Res., the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is River Plate Res. vs Sarmiento Res.?

River Plate Res. vs Sarmiento Res. (Reserve League) kicks off on Thursday 1 October 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.