Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.53 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.53Odds
Picks by market
ResultVélez Sársfield Res. to win ✗67% · @1.53
Double chanceVélez Sársfield Res. or draw ✓89% · @1.12
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗54% · @1.67
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗19% · fair 5.22
Vélez Sársfield Res. vs Argentinos Juniors Res.: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Argentinos Juniors Res. travel to face Vélez Sársfield Res. on Thursday 1 October in the Reserve League – the ball rolls at 19:45 WAT. In the table, Vélez Sársfield Res. are 3rd, among the top four, on 33 points after 17 matches; Argentinos Juniors Res. are 33rd (lower half) with 15. There are 18 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Vélez Sársfield Res., last 5: WWDDW Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Ferro 2, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.
Argentinos Juniors Res., last 5: WDLDL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Platense Res., at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Momentum favours Vélez Sársfield Res., collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.8 for Argentinos Juniors Res..
Head to head
When they last met (29 Apr 2026) it ended Argentinos Juniors Res. 1–2 Vélez Sársfield Res..
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Vélez Sársfield Res. 1.7 xG, Argentinos Juniors Res. 0.5 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 63%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Vélez Sársfield Res. 67%, draw 21%, Argentinos Juniors Res. 11%.
GG/NG: NG (54%) at 1.67.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Vélez Sársfield Res. to win (67%, odds 1.53 – longer than our fair 1.48, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Vélez Sársfield Res. 1–0 Argentinos Juniors Res.. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Vélez Sársfield Res.67%fair 1.48 · @1.53
Draw21%fair 4.68 · @3.50
Argentinos Juniors Res.11%fair 8.97 · @5.50
2.17Expected goals
1.68Vélez Sársfield Res. xG
0.49Argentinos Juniors Res. xG
46%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–019%
2–016%
0–011%
1–19%
3–09%
2–18%
From our goals model: Vélez Sársfield Res. 1.7 – 0.5 Argentinos Juniors Res. expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Vélez Sársfield Res. to win✗
67%
1.48
1.53
Double chance
Vélez Sársfield Res. or draw✓
89%
1.13
1.12
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
54%
1.87
1.67
Draw no bet
Vélez Sársfield Res. (draw no bet)
86%
1.17
–
Asian handicap
Vélez Sársfield Res. -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.07
–
First team to score
Vélez Sársfield Res. to score first
69%
1.46
–
Half-time result
Vélez Sársfield Res. ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Vélez Sársfield Res. / FT Vélez Sársfield Res.✗
What is the prediction for Vélez Sársfield Res. vs Argentinos Juniors Res.?
Our pick is Vélez Sársfield Res. to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Vélez Sársfield Res. vs Argentinos Juniors Res.?
On our numbers Vélez Sársfield Res. have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Argentinos Juniors Res. 11%.
How many goals will there be in Vélez Sársfield Res. vs Argentinos Juniors Res.?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Vélez Sársfield Res. vs Argentinos Juniors Res.?
Our predicted score is Vélez Sársfield Res. 1–0 Argentinos Juniors Res., the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Vélez Sársfield Res. vs Argentinos Juniors Res.?
Vélez Sársfield Res. vs Argentinos Juniors Res. (Reserve League) kicks off on Thursday 1 October 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
